Copa Libertadores | Group Stage
Apr 28, 2021 at 11pm UK
Estadio Norberto Tito Tomaghello
Defensa3 - 0Universitario
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Defensa y Justicia win with a probability of 45.61%. A win for Universitario had a probability of 27.71% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Defensa y Justicia win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.95%) and 2-0 (8.59%). The likeliest Universitario win was 0-1 (8.91%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.62%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Defensa y Justicia would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Defensa y Justicia | Draw | Universitario |
| 45.61% | 26.67% | 27.71% |
| Both teams to score 49.05% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
