Universitario
2 - 3
Palmeiras

Gutierrez (65', 67' pen.)
Quintero Medina (22'), Leonardo Valverde Ledesma (35'), Alonso (78'), Alexis Barreto Gamboa (84'), Corzo (84'), Urruti (88')

FT(HT: 0-1)

dos Santos de Oliveira (20'), Veiga (52'), Renan (90+5')
Empereur (28'), de Paula (66'), Renan (72'), Melo (77'), dos Santos de Oliveira (82')

Preview

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Copa Libertadores clash between Universitario and Palmeiras, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Palmeiras win with a probability of 44.51%. A win for Universitario had a probability of 28.87% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Palmeiras win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.9%) and 0-2 (8.24%). The likeliest Universitario win was 1-0 (8.96%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.62%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Palmeiras would win this match.

Result
Universitario	Draw	Palmeiras
28.87%	26.62%	44.51%

Both teams to score 49.92%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

45.36%

54.64%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

24.03%

75.97%

Universitario Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.05%

33.95%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.38%

70.62%

Palmeiras Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.57%

24.42%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

41.15%

58.85%

Score Analysis

Universitario 28.87%

Palmeiras 44.51%

Draw 26.61%

Universitario	Draw	Palmeiras
1-0 @ 8.96% 2-1 @ 6.82% 2-0 @ 4.84% 3-1 @ 2.46% 3-0 @ 1.74% 3-2 @ 1.73% Other @ 2.32% Total : 28.87%	1-1 @ 12.62% 0-0 @ 8.29% 2-2 @ 4.81% Other @ 0.9% Total : 26.61%	0-1 @ 11.68% 1-2 @ 8.9% 0-2 @ 8.24% 1-3 @ 4.18% 0-3 @ 3.87% 2-3 @ 2.26% 1-4 @ 1.47% 0-4 @ 1.36% Other @ 2.54% Total : 44.51%