Copa Libertadores | Group Stage
May 5, 2021 at 1.30am UK
Estadio Norberto Tito Tomaghello
Defensa1 - 2Palmeiras
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Palmeiras win with a probability of 40.39%. A win for Defensa y Justicia had a probability of 32.98% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Palmeiras win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.55%) and 0-2 (7.16%). The likeliest Defensa y Justicia win was 1-0 (9.37%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.65%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Palmeiras would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Defensa y Justicia | Draw | Palmeiras |
| 32.98% | 26.62% | 40.39% |
| Both teams to score 51.65% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
