Copa Libertadores

Copa Libertadores | Group Stage

May 9, 2024 at 11pm UK

Estadio Pedro Bidegain

San Lorenzo
2 - 0
Independiente

Cuello (16'), Bareiro (24')
Bareiro (22'), Giay (58')
Romana (87')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Ibarra (27'), Carabajal (41'), Paez (73')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Coverage of the Copa Libertadores Group Stage clash between San Lorenzo and Independiente del Valle.

Form, Standings, Stats

San Lorenzo

All competitions

Copa Libertadores

Last Game: Liverpool 1-0 San Lorenzo
Wednesday, April 24 at 1am in Copa Libertadores

Goals
for

Independiente del Valle

All competitions

Copa Libertadores

Last Game: Independiente 2-3 Palmeiras
Thursday, April 25 at 1.30am in Copa Libertadores

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Independiente del Valle win with a probability of 35.75%. A win for San Lorenzo had a probability of 35.5% and a draw had a probability of 28.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Independiente del Valle win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.52%) and 0-2 (6.7%). The likeliest San Lorenzo win was 1-0 (11.83%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.34%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood.

Result
San Lorenzo	Draw	Independiente del Valle
35.5% ( -0.09)	28.75% ( -0.01)	35.75% ( 0.1)

Both teams to score 45.59% (

0.03)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

39.04% (

0.04)

60.96% (

-0.04)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

19.04% (

0.03)

80.96% (

-0.03)

San Lorenzo Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.44% (

-0.03)

32.56% (

0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

30.9% (

-0.04)

69.1% (

0.04)

Independiente del Valle Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.6% (

0.09)

32.4% (

-0.08)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.09% (

0.1)

68.91% (

-0.09)

Score Analysis

San Lorenzo 35.49%

Independiente del Valle 35.75%

Draw 28.74%

San Lorenzo	Draw	Independiente del Valle
1-0 @ 11.83% ( -0.03) 2-1 @ 7.49% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 6.64% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 2.8% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 2.48% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 1.58% ( 0) Other @ 2.68% Total : 35.49%	1-1 @ 13.34% 0-0 @ 10.54% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 4.22% ( 0) Other @ 0.64% Total : 28.74%	0-1 @ 11.89% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 7.52% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 6.7% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 2.82% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 2.52% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 1.59% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.72% Total : 35.75%