Copa Libertadores

Copa Libertadores | Group Stage

Apr 4, 2024 at 1.30am UK

Estadio Pedro Bidegain

San Lorenzo
1 - 1
Palmeiras

Romana (20')
Barrios (33'), Ferreira (56'), Bareiro (58'), Giay (80'), Romana (86'), Perruzzi (90+1')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Piquerez (81')
Vanderlan (51'), Lopes (58'), Ferreira (63'), Naves (64'), Rios (90+2')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Coverage of the Copa Libertadores Group Stage clash between San Lorenzo and Palmeiras.

Form, Standings, Stats

San Lorenzo

All competitions

Last Game: Boca Juniors 2-1 San Lorenzo
Saturday, March 30 at 8pm in Argentine Primera Division

Goals
for

Palmeiras

All competitions

Last Game: Cruzeiro 1-1 Palmeiras
Thursday, December 7 at 12.30am in Brasileiro

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Palmeiras win with a probability of 41.72%. A draw had a probability of 30.3% and a win for San Lorenzo had a probability of 28%.

The most likely scoreline for a Palmeiras win was 0-1 with a probability of 15.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.65%) and 1-2 (7.6%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.3%), while for a San Lorenzo win it was 1-0 (11.64%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.3% likelihood.

Result
San Lorenzo	Draw	Palmeiras
28% ( 0.15)	30.28% ( 0.18)	41.72% ( -0.33)

Both teams to score 39.82% (

-0.34)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

32.91% (

-0.45)

67.09% (

0.45)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

14.68% (

-0.3)

85.32% (

0.3)

San Lorenzo Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

58.47% (

-0.13)

41.53% (

0.13)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

21.97% (

-0.12)

78.03% (

0.12)

Palmeiras Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.1% (

-0.42)

31.89% (

0.42)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.66% (

-0.49)

68.34% (

0.49)

Score Analysis

San Lorenzo 28%

Palmeiras 41.71%

Draw 30.28%

San Lorenzo	Draw	Palmeiras
1-0 @ 11.64% ( 0.15) 2-1 @ 5.84% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 5.11% ( 0.05) 3-1 @ 1.71% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 1.5% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 0.98% ( -0.02) Other @ 1.21% Total : 28%	1-1 @ 13.3% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 13.24% ( 0.22) 2-2 @ 3.34% ( -0.05) Other @ 0.4% Total : 30.28%	0-1 @ 15.13% ( 0.07) 0-2 @ 8.65% ( -0.06) 1-2 @ 7.6% ( -0.08) 0-3 @ 3.29% ( -0.06) 1-3 @ 2.9% ( -0.06) 2-3 @ 1.27% ( -0.03) 0-4 @ 0.94% ( -0.03) Other @ 1.93% Total : 41.71%