Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a River Plate win with a probability of 72.71%. A draw had a probability of 16.9% and a win for Nacional had a probability of 10.37%.

The most likely scoreline for a River Plate win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.65%) and 3-0 (9.65%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.04%), while for a Nacional win it was 0-1 (3.45%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 12.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-0 win for River Plate in this match.

Result
River Plate	Draw	Nacional
72.71% ( 0.07)	16.92% ( -0.04)	10.37% ( -0.03)

Both teams to score 47.82% (

-0)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

59.56% (

0.07)

40.44% (

-0.06)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

37.18% (

0.07)

62.82% (

-0.07)

River Plate Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

90.27% (

0.03)

9.72% (

-0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

67.61% (

0.08)

32.39% (

-0.08)

Nacional Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

52.97% (

-0.02)

47.02% (

0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

17.49% (

-0.02)

82.5% (

0.02)

Score Analysis

River Plate 72.69%

Nacional 10.37%

Draw 16.92%

River Plate	Draw	Nacional
2-0 @ 12.41% 1-0 @ 10.65% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 9.65% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 9.37% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 7.28% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 5.62% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 4.24% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 2.75% 5-0 @ 2.62% ( 0.01) 5-1 @ 1.98% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 1.6% ( 0) 6-0 @ 1.02% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.52% Total : 72.69%	1-1 @ 8.04% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 4.57% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 3.54% ( -0) Other @ 0.77% Total : 16.92%	0-1 @ 3.45% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 3.03% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 1.3% ( -0) Other @ 2.58% Total : 10.37%