Uruguayan Primera Division | Gameweek 5
Mar 23, 2024 at 9.30pm UK
Estadio Gran Parque Central
Nacional0 - 0Progreso
Coverage of the Uruguayan Primera Division clash between Nacional and Progreso.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Nacional 2-1 Always Ready (5-4 pen.)
Friday, March 15 at 12.30am in Copa Libertadores
Friday, March 15 at 12.30am in Copa Libertadores
Last Game: Progreso 4-3 Racing
Sunday, March 10 at 7.30pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Sunday, March 10 at 7.30pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Goals
for
for
10
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nacional win with a probability of 50.73%. A draw had a probability of 25.4% and a win for Progreso had a probability of 23.88%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nacional win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.54%) and 2-1 (9.41%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.04%), while for a Progreso win it was 0-1 (7.71%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood.
Result | ||
Nacional | Draw | Progreso |
50.73% ( -0.09) | 25.38% ( 0) | 23.88% ( 0.08) |
Both teams to score 49.57% ( 0.09) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
46.88% ( 0.07) | 53.12% ( -0.07) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
25.3% ( 0.06) | 74.69% ( -0.06) |
Nacional Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.04% ( -0.01) | 20.95% ( 0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
46.3% ( -0.01) | 53.7% ( 0.01) |
Progreso Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
62.71% ( 0.11) | 37.28% ( -0.12) |