MX23RW : Sunday, February 16 12:57:22| >> :600:6879782:6879782:
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Copa Libertadores
Copa Libertadores | Third Round | 1st Leg
Mar 8, 2024 at 12.30am UK
Estadio Municipal El Alto

Always Ready
1 - 0
Nacional

Rodriguez (13')
Caicedo (59')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Izquierdo (8'), Bentancourt (59'), Baez (62'), Recoba (65'), Mejia (90+1')
Coverage of the Copa Libertadores Third Round clash between Always Ready and Nacional.

Form, Standings, Stats

Always Ready

:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:
Last Game: Cristal 3-1 Always Ready
Wednesday, February 28 at 12.30am in Copa Libertadores
:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:

Nacional

All competitions
Copa Libertadores
Last Game: Nacional 3-0 Wanderers
Saturday, March 2 at 11pm in Uruguayan Primera Division

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Always Ready win with a probability of 50.09%. A win for Nacional had a probability of 26.19% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.

The most likely scoreline for an Always Ready win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.39%) and 2-0 (8.11%). The likeliest Nacional win was 1-2 (6.59%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.12%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Always Ready would win this match.

Result
Always ReadyDrawNacional
50.09% (0.254 0.25) 23.72% (-0.065999999999999 -0.07) 26.19% (-0.186 -0.19)
Both teams to score 57.09% (0.053000000000004 0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.7% (0.149 0.15)44.3% (-0.145 -0.15)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.32% (0.146 0.15)66.68% (-0.14 -0.14)
Always Ready Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.23% (0.155 0.16)17.77% (-0.151 -0.15)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.53% (0.266 0.27)48.47% (-0.26 -0.26)
Nacional Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.43% (-0.064999999999998 -0.06)30.57% (0.068000000000001 0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.2% (-0.076000000000001 -0.08)66.8% (0.082000000000008 0.08)
Score Analysis
    Always Ready 50.09%
    Nacional 26.19%
    Draw 23.72%
Always ReadyDrawNacional
2-1 @ 9.61% (0.016 0.02)
1-0 @ 9.39% (-0.013 -0.01)
2-0 @ 8.11% (0.029 0.03)
3-1 @ 5.53% (0.036 0.04)
3-0 @ 4.67% (0.039 0.04)
3-2 @ 3.28% (0.016 0.02)
4-1 @ 2.39% (0.028 0.03)
4-0 @ 2.02% (0.027 0.03)
4-2 @ 1.42% (0.014 0.01)
Other @ 3.68%
Total : 50.09%
1-1 @ 11.12% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
2-2 @ 5.69% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
0-0 @ 5.43% (-0.034 -0.03)
3-3 @ 1.3% (0.004 0)
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 23.72%
1-2 @ 6.59% (-0.032999999999999 -0.03)
0-1 @ 6.44% (-0.053 -0.05)
0-2 @ 3.82% (-0.038 -0.04)
1-3 @ 2.6% (-0.018 -0.02)
2-3 @ 2.25% (-0.004 -0)
0-3 @ 1.51% (-0.018 -0.02)
Other @ 2.98%
Total : 26.19%

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