San Lorenzo

2 - 0

Universidad

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a San Lorenzo win with a probability of 42.9%. A win for Universidad de Chile had a probability of 30.12% and a draw had a probability of 27%.

The most likely scoreline for a San Lorenzo win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.7%) and 2-0 (7.95%). The likeliest Universidad de Chile win was 0-1 (9.39%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.78%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that San Lorenzo would win this match.