Copa Diego Maradona | First Phase
Feb 14, 2021 at 12.30am UK
Estadio Pedro Bidegain
San Lorenzo2 - 1Arsenal
Coverage of the Copa Diego Maradona First Phase clash between San Lorenzo and Arsenal Sarandi.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a San Lorenzo win with a probability of 44.27%. A win for Arsenal Sarandi had a probability of 29.66% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a San Lorenzo win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9%) and 2-0 (7.9%). The likeliest Arsenal Sarandi win was 0-1 (8.55%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.4%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that San Lorenzo would win this match.
| Result | ||
| San Lorenzo | Draw | Arsenal Sarandi |
| 44.27% | 26.07% | 29.66% |
| Both teams to score 52.04% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
