MX23RW : Thursday, April 3 00:05:13| >> :60:59:59:
Copa Libertadores | Group Stage
Apr 2, 2025 at 3am UK
Estadio Alejandro Villanueva
Club Libertad

Alianza Lima
0 - 1
Libertad


Enrique (17'), Garces (68'), Quevedo (78'), Zambrano (81')
Enrique (90+6')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Aguilar (52')
Melgarejo (42'), Gimenez (86')
Martinez (68')
Coverage of the Copa Libertadores Group Stage clash between Alianza Lima and Club Libertad.

Form, Standings, Stats

Alianza Lima

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Last Game: Alianza Lima 1-1 Deportes Iquique
Tuesday, March 11 at 10pm in Copa Libertadores
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Club Libertad

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Last Game: Cruzeiro 1-1 Libertad
Friday, September 27 at 1.30am in Copa Sudamericana
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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Alianza Lima win with a probability of 51.65%. A draw had a probability of 27.3% and a win for Club Libertad had a probability of 21.05%.

The most likely scoreline for an Alianza Lima win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.99%) and 2-1 (8.71%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.34%), while for a Club Libertad win it was 0-1 (8.75%).

Result
Alianza LimaDrawClub Libertad
51.65% (0.085000000000001 0.09) 27.3% (-0.042000000000002 -0.04) 21.05% (-0.041 -0.04)
Both teams to score 41.37% (0.050000000000004 0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
37.82% (0.093000000000004 0.09)62.18% (-0.092000000000006 -0.09)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
18.13% (0.067 0.07)81.87% (-0.064999999999998 -0.06)
Alianza Lima Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.62% (0.079999999999998 0.08)24.38% (-0.079999999999998 -0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.2% (0.113 0.11)58.79% (-0.112 -0.11)
Club Libertad Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
54.71% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)45.29% (-0.0079999999999956 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
18.83% (0.0079999999999991 0.01)81.16% (-0.0080000000000098 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Alianza Lima 51.64%
    Club Libertad 21.05%
    Draw 27.29%
Alianza LimaDrawClub Libertad
1-0 @ 15.58% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-0 @ 10.99% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-1 @ 8.71% (0.012 0.01)
3-0 @ 5.17% (0.019 0.02)
3-1 @ 4.1% (0.015 0.01)
4-0 @ 1.83% (0.01 0.01)
3-2 @ 1.62% (0.0069999999999999 0.01)
4-1 @ 1.45% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
Other @ 2.19%
Total : 51.64%
1-1 @ 12.34% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 11.04% (-0.040000000000001 -0.04)
2-2 @ 3.45% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Other @ 0.46%
Total : 27.29%
0-1 @ 8.75% (-0.028 -0.03)
1-2 @ 4.89% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-2 @ 3.46% (-0.01 -0.01)
1-3 @ 1.29%
0-3 @ 0.92% (-0.002 -0)
2-3 @ 0.91% (0.002 0)
Other @ 0.84%
Total : 21.05%

Head to Head
May 24, 2023 3am
Group Stage
Alianza Lima
1-2
Libertad
Vilchez (90+3')
Ballon (6'), Reyna (61')
Garcia (45+2' og.), Melgarejo (55')
Oviedo (11'), Barboza (24'), Sanabria (60'), Silva (90+7'), Gimenez (90+5')
Apr 21, 2023 3am
Group Stage
Libertad
1-2
Alianza Lima
rhs 2.0
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