Copa Libertadores | Second Round | 2nd Leg
Mar 1, 2023 at 12am UK
Estadio Alberto Gallardo
Cristal5 - 1Nacional
Coverage of the Copa Libertadores Second Round clash between Sporting Cristal and Club Nacional.
Form, Standings, Stats
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Cristal win with a probability of 55.56%. A draw had a probability of 25.2% and a win for Club Nacional had a probability of 19.27%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Cristal win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.37%) and 2-1 (9.29%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.72%), while for a Club Nacional win it was 0-1 (7.4%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sporting Cristal would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Sporting Cristal | Draw | Club Nacional |
55.56% ( 0.19) | 25.17% ( -0.03) | 19.27% ( -0.17) |
| Both teams to score 44.36% ( -0.17) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
