Copa Libertadores | Group Stage
Apr 26, 2022 at 11.15pm UK
Estadio Islas Malvinas
Velez Sarsfield1 - 2Nacional
Coverage of the Copa Libertadores Group Stage clash between Velez Sarsfield and Nacional.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Patronato 1-1 Velez Sarsfield
Saturday, June 4 at 11pm in Argentine Primera Division
Saturday, June 4 at 11pm in Argentine Primera Division
Next Game: Velez Sarsfield vs. Platense
Sunday, June 12 at 10pm in Argentine Primera Division
Sunday, June 12 at 10pm in Argentine Primera Division
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 20 | Independiente | 13 | -4 | 13 |
| 21 | Velez Sarsfield | 12 | -2 | 12 |
| 22 | Central Cordoba | 12 | -8 | 11 |
Last Game: Danubio 2-1 Nacional
Sunday, June 5 at 7pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Sunday, June 5 at 7pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Next Game: Nacional vs. Union
Tuesday, June 28 at 11.15pm in Copa Sudamericana
Tuesday, June 28 at 11.15pm in Copa Sudamericana
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Liverpool | 15 | 13 | 32 |
| 2 | Nacional | 15 | 18 | 28 |
| 3 | Deportivo Maldonado | 15 | 6 | 27 |
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Velez Sarsfield win with a probability of 45.57%. A win for Nacional had a probability of 28.04% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Velez Sarsfield win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.02%) and 2-0 (8.43%). The likeliest Nacional win was 0-1 (8.7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.52%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Velez Sarsfield | Draw | Nacional |
| 45.57% | 26.39% | 28.04% |
| Both teams to score 50.1% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
