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Copa Libertadores WWW header

Copa Libertadores
Copa Libertadores | Quarter-Finals | 1st Leg
Aug 4, 2022 at 1.30am UK
Estadio José Amalfitani

Velez Sarsfield
3 - 2
Talleres

Janson (5', 73'), Fernandez (90')
Perrone (55'), Jara (83'), Osorio (85')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Santos (81'), Garro (87')
Oliva (35'), Diaz (48'), Herrera (76')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Copa Libertadores clash between Velez Sarsfield and Talleres, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Velez Sarsfield

Last Six:
Last Game: Godoy Cruz 1-1 Velez Sarsfield
Saturday, July 30 at 12am in Argentine Primera Division

Talleres

Last Six:
Last Game: San Lorenzo 1-1 Talleres
Monday, July 25 at 8.30pm in Argentine Primera Division

We said: Velez Sarsfield 2-1 Talleres

 Neither side boast defensive security as one of their strengths, and they have both been leaking goals of late, but Velez pose the more potent attacking threat. With several experienced options in the final third, the hosts should take a lead to Cordoba next week. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Velez Sarsfield win with a probability of 50.22%. A draw had a probability of 26.7% and a win for Talleres had a probability of 23.08%.

The most likely scoreline for a Velez Sarsfield win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.13%) and 2-1 (9.01%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.42%), while for a Talleres win it was 0-1 (8.57%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Velez Sarsfield would win this match.

Result
Velez SarsfieldDrawTalleres
50.22% (0.027000000000001 0.03) 26.7% (-0.004999999999999 -0) 23.08% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)
Both teams to score 45.07% (-0.017000000000003 -0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
41.42% (-0.0079999999999956 -0.01)58.58% (0.0069999999999979 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20.86% (-0.0069999999999979 -0.01)79.14% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Velez Sarsfield Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.54% (0.0079999999999956 0.01)23.46% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.53% (0.012 0.01)57.47% (-0.013000000000005 -0.01)
Talleres Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
58.89% (-0.027999999999999 -0.03)41.11% (0.027000000000001 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.34% (-0.025000000000002 -0.03)77.66% (0.02300000000001 0.02)
Score Analysis
    Velez Sarsfield 50.21%
    Talleres 23.08%
    Draw 26.69%
Velez SarsfieldDrawTalleres
1-0 @ 13.98% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-0 @ 10.13%
2-1 @ 9.01%
3-0 @ 4.9% (0.0050000000000008 0.01)
3-1 @ 4.36% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-2 @ 1.94%
4-0 @ 1.78% (0.002 0)
4-1 @ 1.58% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 2.54%
Total : 50.21%
1-1 @ 12.42% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 9.64% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-2 @ 4.01% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Other @ 0.62%
Total : 26.69%
0-1 @ 8.57% (-0.0040000000000013 -0)
1-2 @ 5.52% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
0-2 @ 3.81% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
1-3 @ 1.64% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
2-3 @ 1.19% (-0.002 -0)
0-3 @ 1.13% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 1.23%
Total : 23.08%

How you voted: Velez Sarsfield vs Talleres

Velez Sarsfield
75.0%
Draw
16.7%
Talleres
8.3%
12
Head to Head
Nov 20, 2021 12.30am
Talleres
1-1
Velez Sarsfield
Santos (57' pen.)
Mendez (45+1'), Tenaglia (67')
Martin Lucero (68')
Almada (58'), Martin Lucero (74'), Pellegrino (90')
Mar 13, 2021 8.10pm
Talleres
0-1
Velez Sarsfield

Mendez (23'), Perez (39'), Tenaglia (42'), Navarro (85')
Perez (50')
Orellano (54')
Poblete (8'), De La Fuente (44')
Jul 28, 2019 7.30pm
Talleres
1-0
Velez Sarsfield
Menendez (71')
Cubas (30')

Bouzat (62')
Sep 22, 2018 7.30pm
Talleres
1-1
Velez Sarsfield
Bustos (12')
Araujo (70'), Quintana (95')
Cufre (58')
Laso (59'), Galdames (93')
rhs 2.0
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