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Argentine Primera Division | Gameweek 8
Jul 18, 2022 at 12.30am UK
Estadio José Amalfitani

Velez Sarsfield
2 - 2
River Plate

Bou (20' pen.), Osorio (90+4')
Perrone (59'), Garayalde (63'), Gomez (89'), Caseres (90'), de los Santos (90')
FT(HT: 1-2)
Beltran (7'), de la Cruz (30')
Gomez (16'), Simon (25'), Zuculini (84'), Casco (87'), Quintero (90')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Argentine Primera Division clash between Velez Sarsfield and River Plate, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Velez Sarsfield

Last Six:
Last Game: Colon 2-1 Velez Sarsfield
Monday, July 11 at 11pm in Argentine Primera Division

River Plate

Last Six:
Last Game: River Plate 0-2 Godoy Cruz
Monday, July 11 at 12.30am in Argentine Primera Division

We said: Velez Sarsfield 1-2 River Plate

 Buoyed by their cup win over Barracas Central, River Plate will head into the weekend with renewed confidence as they look to move into the top half of the table. They face a Velez side who have suffered a slump in recent weeks and we predict they will come out victorious on Sunday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a River Plate win with a probability of 41.76%. A win for Velez Sarsfield had a probability of 30.88% and a draw had a probability of 27.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a River Plate win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.52%) and 0-2 (7.79%). The likeliest Velez Sarsfield win was 1-0 (9.8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.92%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood.

Result
Velez SarsfieldDrawRiver Plate
30.88% (-1.501 -1.5) 27.36% (0.212 0.21) 41.76% (1.286 1.29)
Both teams to score 48.71% (-1.148 -1.15)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.34% (-1.216 -1.22)56.65% (1.214 1.21)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.38% (-0.989 -0.99)77.62% (0.986 0.99)
Velez Sarsfield Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.49% (-1.688 -1.69)33.51% (1.685 1.69)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.85% (-1.889 -1.89)70.14% (1.886 1.89)
River Plate Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.25% (0.128 0.13)26.75% (-0.13 -0.13)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.98% (0.17 0.17)62.02% (-0.172 -0.17)
Score Analysis
    Velez Sarsfield 30.88%
    River Plate 41.75%
    Draw 27.36%
Velez SarsfieldDrawRiver Plate
1-0 @ 9.8% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
2-1 @ 7.07% (-0.302 -0.3)
2-0 @ 5.36% (-0.249 -0.25)
3-1 @ 2.58% (-0.237 -0.24)
3-0 @ 1.95% (-0.187 -0.19)
3-2 @ 1.7% (-0.149 -0.15)
Other @ 2.43%
Total : 30.88%
1-1 @ 12.92% (0.06 0.06)
0-0 @ 8.96% (0.41 0.41)
2-2 @ 4.66% (-0.181 -0.18)
Other @ 0.82%
Total : 27.36%
0-1 @ 11.81% (0.58 0.58)
1-2 @ 8.52% (0.068000000000001 0.07)
0-2 @ 7.79% (0.41 0.41)
1-3 @ 3.75% (0.044 0.04)
0-3 @ 3.43% (0.193 0.19)
2-3 @ 2.05% (-0.072 -0.07)
1-4 @ 1.24% (0.019 0.02)
0-4 @ 1.13% (0.067 0.07)
Other @ 2.04%
Total : 41.75%

How you voted: Velez Sarsfield vs River Plate

Velez Sarsfield
16.7%
Draw
16.7%
River Plate
66.7%
6
Head to Head
Jul 7, 2022 1.30am
River Plate
0-0
Velez Sarsfield

Romero (53'), Mammana (90+3'), Alvarez (90+5')

Garayalde (33'), Hoyos (51')
Jun 30, 2022 1.30am
Velez Sarsfield
1-0
River Plate
Janson (15' pen.)
Perrone (21'), Gomez (41'), Pratto (70'), Medina (71')

Diaz (18')
Aug 14, 2021 10pm
River Plate
2-0
Velez Sarsfield
Jeremias Fernandez (50'), Romero (90')
Casco (15'), Fontana (80'), Armani (90'), Romero (90+1')

Caseres (65')
Sep 23, 2019 12am
River Plate
1-2
Velez Sarsfield
Fernandez (60')
Armani (82'), Montiel (83')
Dominguez (38'), Almada (83' pen.)
Bouzat (16'), Abram (19'), Gianetti (58'), Dominguez (87')
Dominguez (89')
Feb 4, 2019 12.30am
Velez Sarsfield
1-2
River Plate
Barreal (91')
Laso (66'), Galdames (72')
Gimenez (84')
Borre (49'), Quintero (86' pen.)
Palacios (62'), Suarez (79')
rhs 2.0
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> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Velez SarsfieldVelez Sarsfield1510322982133
2HuracanHuracan16772168828
3TalleresTalleres157622216627
4UnionUnion157621812627
5Instituto167452114725
6Atletico TucumanTucuman157441716125
7River PlateRiver Plate156632011924
8Racing ClubRacing157352013724
9BelgranoBelgrano166642119224
10Deportivo Riestra167361818024
11GimnasiaGimnasia156451614222
12Boca Juniors165651917221
13EstudiantesEstudiantes165561616020
14Rosario CentralRosario155461716119
15Godoy CruzGodoy Cruz154741616019
16Platense155461314-119
17LanusLanus154741822-419
18Independiente Rivadavia165471016-619
19IndependienteIndependiente15393910-118
20Argentinos JuniorsArgentinos Jrs155371116-518
21San Lorenzo154561314-117
22TigreTigre154561820-217
23BanfieldBanfield164571419-517
24Newell's Old BoysNewell's OB164571018-817
25Central CordobaC. Cordoba164481826-816
26Sarmiento153661115-415
27Defensa y JusticiaDefensa162681023-1312
28Barracas Central16259721-1411
> Argentine Primera Division Full Table


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