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Argentine Primera Division | Gameweek 8
Jul 18, 2022 at 12.30am UK
Estadio José Amalfitani

Velez Sarsfield
2 - 2
River Plate

Bou (20' pen.), Osorio (90+4')
Perrone (59'), Garayalde (63'), Gomez (89'), Caseres (90'), de los Santos (90')
FT(HT: 1-2)
Beltran (7'), de la Cruz (30')
Gomez (16'), Simon (25'), Zuculini (84'), Casco (87'), Quintero (90')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Argentine Primera Division clash between Velez Sarsfield and River Plate, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Velez Sarsfield

Last Six:
Last Game: Colon 2-1 Velez Sarsfield
Monday, July 11 at 11pm in Argentine Primera Division

River Plate

Last Six:
Last Game: River Plate 0-2 Godoy Cruz
Monday, July 11 at 12.30am in Argentine Primera Division

We said: Velez Sarsfield 1-2 River Plate

 Buoyed by their cup win over Barracas Central, River Plate will head into the weekend with renewed confidence as they look to move into the top half of the table. They face a Velez side who have suffered a slump in recent weeks and we predict they will come out victorious on Sunday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a River Plate win with a probability of 41.76%. A win for Velez Sarsfield had a probability of 30.88% and a draw had a probability of 27.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a River Plate win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.52%) and 0-2 (7.79%). The likeliest Velez Sarsfield win was 1-0 (9.8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.92%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood.

Result
Velez SarsfieldDrawRiver Plate
30.88% (-1.501 -1.5) 27.36% (0.212 0.21) 41.76% (1.286 1.29)
Both teams to score 48.71% (-1.148 -1.15)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.34% (-1.216 -1.22)56.65% (1.214 1.21)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.38% (-0.989 -0.99)77.62% (0.986 0.99)
Velez Sarsfield Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.49% (-1.688 -1.69)33.51% (1.685 1.69)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.85% (-1.889 -1.89)70.14% (1.886 1.89)
River Plate Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.25% (0.128 0.13)26.75% (-0.13 -0.13)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.98% (0.17 0.17)62.02% (-0.172 -0.17)
Score Analysis
    Velez Sarsfield 30.88%
    River Plate 41.75%
    Draw 27.36%
Velez SarsfieldDrawRiver Plate
1-0 @ 9.8% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
2-1 @ 7.07% (-0.302 -0.3)
2-0 @ 5.36% (-0.249 -0.25)
3-1 @ 2.58% (-0.237 -0.24)
3-0 @ 1.95% (-0.187 -0.19)
3-2 @ 1.7% (-0.149 -0.15)
Other @ 2.43%
Total : 30.88%
1-1 @ 12.92% (0.06 0.06)
0-0 @ 8.96% (0.41 0.41)
2-2 @ 4.66% (-0.181 -0.18)
Other @ 0.82%
Total : 27.36%
0-1 @ 11.81% (0.58 0.58)
1-2 @ 8.52% (0.068000000000001 0.07)
0-2 @ 7.79% (0.41 0.41)
1-3 @ 3.75% (0.044 0.04)
0-3 @ 3.43% (0.193 0.19)
2-3 @ 2.05% (-0.072 -0.07)
1-4 @ 1.24% (0.019 0.02)
0-4 @ 1.13% (0.067 0.07)
Other @ 2.04%
Total : 41.75%

How you voted: Velez Sarsfield vs River Plate

Velez Sarsfield
16.7%
Draw
16.7%
River Plate
66.7%
6
Head to Head
Jul 7, 2022 1.30am
River Plate
0-0
Velez Sarsfield

Romero (53'), Mammana (90+3'), Alvarez (90+5')

Garayalde (33'), Hoyos (51')
Jun 30, 2022 1.30am
Velez Sarsfield
1-0
River Plate
Janson (15' pen.)
Perrone (21'), Gomez (41'), Pratto (70'), Medina (71')

Diaz (18')
Aug 14, 2021 10pm
River Plate
2-0
Velez Sarsfield
Jeremias Fernandez (50'), Romero (90')
Casco (15'), Fontana (80'), Armani (90'), Romero (90+1')

Caseres (65')
Sep 23, 2019 12am
River Plate
1-2
Velez Sarsfield
Fernandez (60')
Armani (82'), Montiel (83')
Dominguez (38'), Almada (83' pen.)
Bouzat (16'), Abram (19'), Gianetti (58'), Dominguez (87')
Dominguez (89')
Feb 4, 2019 12.30am
Velez Sarsfield
1-2
River Plate
Barreal (91')
Laso (66'), Galdames (72')
Gimenez (84')
Borre (49'), Quintero (86' pen.)
Palacios (62'), Suarez (79')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Velez SarsfieldVelez Sarsfield23128335152044
2HuracanHuracan23119327151242
3Racing ClubRacing23124734221240
4River PlateRiver Plate2299430161436
5TalleresTalleres229942622436
6UnionUnion2310672422236
7Atletico TucumanTucuman2310672524136
8Boca Juniors239772823534
9Platense238961816233
10Instituto239592925432
11Deportivo Riestra238872424032
12EstudiantesEstudiantes2371062624231
13IndependienteIndependiente2261241914530
14BelgranoBelgrano227962725230
15GimnasiaGimnasia227872019129
16TigreTigre237882628-229
17Godoy CruzGodoy Cruz2361072325-228
18San Lorenzo237791921-228
19Central CordobaC. Cordoba237792630-428
20LanusLanus2361072228-628
21Rosario CentralRosario236892423126
22Argentinos JuniorsArgentinos Jrs2375111823-526
23Defensa y JusticiaDefensa236892431-726
24Independiente Rivadavia226791523-825
25BanfieldBanfield2357112029-922
26Sarmiento224991523-821
27Newell's Old BoysNewell's OB2356121732-1521
28Barracas Central2237121029-1916
> Argentine Primera Division Full Table


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