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Argentine Primera Division | Gameweek 7
Jul 11, 2022 at 11pm UK
Estadio Brigadier General Estanislao López

Colon
2 - 1
Velez Sarsfield

Garces (29'), Abila (53')
Farias (61')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Gomez (16')
Garayalde (86')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Argentine Primera Division clash between Colon and Velez Sarsfield, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Colon 0-2 Talleres
Wednesday, July 6 at 11.15pm in Copa Libertadores

We said: Colon 0-0 Velez Sarsfield

Earlier this week, one of these sides experienced quite the emotional high, while the other went through a massive low, and with little time for either to recuperate from that kind of intensity, we expect this match to be a stagnant one between two teams who could be low on energy, while they are both average at best when it comes to attacking quality. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Colon win with a probability of 37.45%. A win for Velez Sarsfield had a probability of 34.4% and a draw had a probability of 28.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Colon win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.88%) and 2-0 (6.96%). The likeliest Velez Sarsfield win was 0-1 (11.05%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.2%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Colon would win this match.

Result
ColonDrawVelez Sarsfield
37.45% (-0.253 -0.25) 28.16% (-0.065999999999999 -0.07) 34.4% (0.322 0.32)
Both teams to score 47.25% (0.238 0.24)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
41.11% (0.279 0.28)58.89% (-0.275 -0.27)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20.61% (0.217 0.22)79.39% (-0.212 -0.21)
Colon Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.71% (-0.013999999999996 -0.01)30.29% (0.019000000000002 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.53% (-0.020000000000003 -0.02)66.47% (0.024000000000001 0.02)
Velez Sarsfield Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.77% (0.358 0.36)32.23% (-0.354 -0.35)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.28% (0.404 0.4)68.72% (-0.40000000000001 -0.4)
Score Analysis
    Colon 37.44%
    Velez Sarsfield 34.39%
    Draw 28.16%
ColonDrawVelez Sarsfield
1-0 @ 11.65% (-0.13 -0.13)
2-1 @ 7.88% (-0.013 -0.01)
2-0 @ 6.96% (-0.08 -0.08)
3-1 @ 3.14% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
3-0 @ 2.77% (-0.033 -0.03)
3-2 @ 1.78% (0.013 0.01)
4-1 @ 0.94% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
Other @ 2.32%
Total : 37.44%
1-1 @ 13.2% (-0.010000000000002 -0.01)
0-0 @ 9.76% (-0.101 -0.1)
2-2 @ 4.46% (0.036 0.04)
Other @ 0.73%
Total : 28.16%
0-1 @ 11.05% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
1-2 @ 7.48% (0.064 0.06)
0-2 @ 6.26% (0.056 0.06)
1-3 @ 2.82% (0.052 0.05)
0-3 @ 2.36% (0.044 0.04)
2-3 @ 1.69% (0.03 0.03)
Other @ 2.74%
Total : 34.39%

How you voted: Colon vs Velez Sarsfield

Colon
30.8%
Draw
34.6%
Velez Sarsfield
34.6%
26
Head to Head
May 9, 2022 11pm
Colon
1-2
Velez Sarsfield
Abila (65')
Lertora (36'), Garces (51')
Osorio (5'), Janson (74')
Guidara (28'), Sosa (77')
Aug 8, 2021 7.45pm
Velez Sarsfield
0-1
Colon

de los Santos (36'), Brizuela (47'), Tarragona (55')
Pellegrino (85')
Farias (81' pen.)
Garces (22'), Delgado (29'), Beltran (89'), Lertora (90+1')
Dec 1, 2019 10.40pm
Velez Sarsfield
3-1
Colon
Almada (22'), Fernandez (26'), Dominguez (52')
Bernardi (39')
Bernardi (27')
Feb 15, 2019 10pm
Velez Sarsfield
1-1
Colon
De la Fuente (2')
Laso (43')
Cufre (33')
Rodriguez (83' pen.)
Celis (24'), Rodriguez (91')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Velez SarsfieldVelez Sarsfield23128335152044
2HuracanHuracan241110327151243
3Racing ClubRacing23124734221240
4TalleresTalleres2310942822639
5River PlateRiver Plate2399531181336
6UnionUnion2310672422236
7Atletico TucumanTucuman2310672524136
8Boca Juniors249872823535
9IndependienteIndependiente2371242014633
10Instituto249692925433
11Platense238961816233
12Deportivo Riestra238872424032
13BelgranoBelgrano2371062826231
14EstudiantesEstudiantes2371062624231
15TigreTigre247982628-230
16GimnasiaGimnasia237882020029
17Godoy CruzGodoy Cruz2361072325-228
18San Lorenzo237791921-228
19Central CordobaC. Cordoba237792630-428
20LanusLanus2361072228-628
21Independiente Rivadavia237791724-728
22Rosario CentralRosario236892423126
23Argentinos JuniorsArgentinos Jrs2375111823-526
24Defensa y JusticiaDefensa236892431-726
25BanfieldBanfield2357112029-922
26Sarmiento2349101525-1021
27Newell's Old BoysNewell's OB2356121732-1521
28Barracas Central2338121130-1917


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