Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Club Libertad win with a probability of 44.74%. A win for Atletico Junior had a probability of 32.08% and a draw had a probability of 23.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Club Libertad win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.14%) and 2-0 (6.24%). The likeliest Atletico Junior win was 1-2 (7.51%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.35%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood.