Copa Sudamericana | First Round

Mar 9, 2023 at 2am UK

Estadio Mansiche

Cesar Vallejo
3 - 1
Binacional

Olaya (40'), Vanegas (74'), Mena (82' og.)
Quinones (15'), Cabello (21'), Garces (35'), Fuentes (47'), Vanegas (75')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Palacios (1')
Caceres (52'), Fernandez (84')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Coverage of the Copa Sudamericana First Round clash between Cesar Vallejo and Deportivo Binacional.

Form, Standings, Stats

Cesar Vallejo

Last Game: Olimpia 2-0 Cesar Vallejo
Thursday, February 17 at 12.30am in Copa Libertadores

Deportivo Binacional

Last Game: Sao Paulo 5-1 Binacional
Wednesday, October 21 at 1.30am in Copa Libertadores

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cesar Vallejo win with a probability of 69.82%. A draw had a probability of 18.1% and a win for Deportivo Binacional had a probability of 12.04%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cesar Vallejo win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.69%) and 2-1 (9.62%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.61%), while for a Deportivo Binacional win it was 0-1 (3.86%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cesar Vallejo would win this match.

Result
Cesar Vallejo	Draw	Deportivo Binacional
69.82% ( -0.21)	18.14% ( 0.07)	12.04% ( 0.14)

Both teams to score 49.37% (

0.21)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

58.54% (

0.04)

41.45% (

-0.04)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

36.14% (

0.04)

63.85% (

-0.04)

Cesar Vallejo Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

89.28% (

-0.04)

10.72% (

0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

65.35% (

-0.09)

34.64% (

0.09)

Deportivo Binacional Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

55.3% (

0.26)

44.7% (

-0.26)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

19.31% (

0.21)

80.69% (

-0.21)

Score Analysis

Cesar Vallejo 69.81%

Deportivo Binacional 12.04%

Draw 18.14%

Cesar Vallejo	Draw	Deportivo Binacional
2-0 @ 11.94% ( -0.07) 1-0 @ 10.69% ( -0.04) 2-1 @ 9.62% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 8.89% ( -0.06) 3-1 @ 7.16% ( 0) 4-0 @ 4.97% ( -0.04) 4-1 @ 4% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 2.88% ( 0.02) 5-0 @ 2.22% ( -0.02) 5-1 @ 1.79% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 1.61% ( 0.01) Other @ 4.04% Total : 69.81%	1-1 @ 8.61% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 4.79% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 3.87% ( 0.04) Other @ 0.87% Total : 18.14%	0-1 @ 3.86% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 3.47% ( 0.04) 0-2 @ 1.55% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 1.04% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 0.93% ( 0.02) Other @ 1.19% Total : 12.04%