Copa Sudamericana | First Round
Mar 9, 2023 at 2am UK
Estadio Mansiche
Cesar Vallejo3 - 1Binacional
Coverage of the Copa Sudamericana First Round clash between Cesar Vallejo and Deportivo Binacional.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Olimpia 2-0 Cesar Vallejo
Thursday, February 17 at 12.30am in Copa Libertadores
Thursday, February 17 at 12.30am in Copa Libertadores
Last Game: Sao Paulo 5-1 Binacional
Wednesday, October 21 at 1.30am in Copa Libertadores
Wednesday, October 21 at 1.30am in Copa Libertadores
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cesar Vallejo win with a probability of 69.82%. A draw had a probability of 18.1% and a win for Deportivo Binacional had a probability of 12.04%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cesar Vallejo win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.69%) and 2-1 (9.62%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.61%), while for a Deportivo Binacional win it was 0-1 (3.86%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cesar Vallejo would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Cesar Vallejo | Draw | Deportivo Binacional |
69.82% ( -0.21) | 18.14% ( 0.07) | 12.04% ( 0.14) |
| Both teams to score 49.37% ( 0.21) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
