MX23RW : Monday, December 30 17:07:31| >> :60:451:451:
Corinthians
Copa Sudamericana | Round of 16 | 2nd Leg
Aug 21, 2024 at 1.30am UK
Arena Corinthians
Bragantino

Corinthians
1 - 2
Bragantino

Garro (24')
Giovane (26')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Sasha (72'), Candido (76')
Jadsom (57'), Mosquera (70'), Evangelista (85')
Corinthians win 5-4 on penalties

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Copa Sudamericana clash between Corinthians and Bragantino, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Bragantino 1-2 Fortaleza
Saturday, August 17 at 10.30pm in Brasileiro

We said: Corinthians 2-1 Bragantino (Corinthians advances 4-2 on aggregate)

Corinthians may be having an underwhelming domestic season, but they have been solid in the Copa Sudamericana, especially on home soil where they have been perfect. Bragantino, on the other hand, are on a poor run and will have to take the initiative given that they are trailing in the tie, which is why we think they will be susceptible to fast breaks and lose this clash. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Corinthians win with a probability of 45.65%. A win for Bragantino had a probability of 28.19% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Corinthians win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.07%) and 2-0 (8.34%). The likeliest Bragantino win was 0-1 (8.52%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.43%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood.

Result
CorinthiansDrawBragantino
45.65% (-0.045999999999999 -0.05) 26.16% (0.016999999999999 0.02) 28.19% (0.027999999999999 0.03)
Both teams to score 50.88% (-0.036000000000001 -0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.81% (-0.056000000000004 -0.06)53.19% (0.054000000000002 0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.24% (-0.047000000000001 -0.05)74.76% (0.045999999999992 0.05)
Corinthians Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.75% (-0.047000000000011 -0.05)23.24% (0.045999999999999 0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.84% (-0.068000000000005 -0.07)57.16% (0.067999999999998 0.07)
Bragantino Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.29% (-0.007000000000005 -0.01)33.7% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.64% (-0.0079999999999991 -0.01)70.36% (0.0069999999999908 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Corinthians 45.65%
    Bragantino 28.19%
    Draw 26.16%
CorinthiansDrawBragantino
1-0 @ 11.43% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-1 @ 9.07% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
2-0 @ 8.34% (-0.004999999999999 -0)
3-1 @ 4.41% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
3-0 @ 4.06% (-0.008 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.4% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
4-1 @ 1.61% (-0.006 -0.01)
4-0 @ 1.48% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 2.86%
Total : 45.65%
1-1 @ 12.43% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 7.83% (0.016999999999999 0.02)
2-2 @ 4.93% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
Other @ 0.96%
Total : 26.16%
0-1 @ 8.52% (0.016999999999999 0.02)
1-2 @ 6.76% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-2 @ 4.63% (0.008 0.01)
1-3 @ 2.45% (0.00099999999999989 0)
2-3 @ 1.79% (-0.002 -0)
0-3 @ 1.68% (0.0029999999999999 0)
Other @ 2.35%
Total : 28.19%

How you voted: Corinthians vs Bragantino

Corinthians
87.0%
Draw
8.7%
Bragantino
4.3%
23
Head to Head
Aug 14, 2024 1.30am
Round of 16 1st Leg
Bragantino
1-2
Corinthians
Helinho (56')
Jadsom (72')
Giovane (6'), Magno (14')
Charles (42'), Garro (89')
Aug 11, 2024 1.30am
Gameweek 22
Corinthians
1-1
Bragantino
Magno (90+4')
Romero (21'), Hugo (62'), Magno (90+8'), Souza (90+9')
Helinho (39')
Raul (54'), Sasha (56'), Lucao (60'), Jadsom (88'), Magno (90+6'), Mendes (90+6')
Apr 20, 2024 10.30pm
Gameweek 3
Bragantino
1-0
Corinthians
Vitinho (5')
Mendes (27'), Sasha (38'), Ramires (40'), Mosquera (79')

Henrique (45+2'), Gustavo (71')
Nov 5, 2023 7pm
Gameweek 32
Bragantino
1-0
Corinthians
Helinho (29')
Helinho (61')

Fagner (69'), Silva (78')
Jul 2, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 13
Corinthians
0-1
Bragantino

Fagner (35'), Moscardo (60'), Gassova (85')
Sasha (17')
Vinicios (85'), Santos (89')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool18143145172845
2Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest1911442619737
3Arsenal18106235161936
4Chelsea18105338211735
5Manchester CityMan City199463226631
6Bournemouth198652923630
7Newcastle UnitedNewcastle188553021929
8Fulham197842825329
9Aston Villa188462629-328
10Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton186842726126
11Tottenham HotspurSpurs1973941281324
12Brentford187383232024
13West Ham UnitedWest Ham196582335-1223
14Manchester UnitedMan Utd186482124-322
15Crystal Palace194872027-720
16Everton183871524-917
17Wolverhampton WanderersWolves1944113142-1116
18Leicester CityLeicester1935112242-2014
19Ipswich TownIpswich1826101633-1712
20Southampton1913151239-276


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!