Copa do Brasil | Round of 16 | 1st Leg
Aug 1, 2024 at 1.30am UK
Arena Corinthians
Corinthians0 - 0Gremio
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Atletico Mineiro 2-1 Corinthians
Sunday, July 28 at 11pm in Brasileiro
Sunday, July 28 at 11pm in Brasileiro
Goals
for
for
18
Last Game: Gremio 1-0 Vasco
Sunday, July 28 at 11pm in Brasileiro
Sunday, July 28 at 11pm in Brasileiro
Goals
for
for
15
We said: Corinthians 2-1 Gremio
Goals have been a constant feature of this fixture over the years, and we expect Thursday's affair to be no different. That said, we can see Corinthians just about doing enough to come away with a narrow advantage to take into next week's return leg. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Corinthians win with a probability of 47.58%. A win for Gremio had a probability of 27.02% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Corinthians win was 1-0 with a probability of 11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.32%) and 2-0 (8.49%). The likeliest Gremio win was 0-1 (7.83%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.07%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Corinthians | Draw | Gremio |
47.58% ( 0.16) | 25.39% ( -0.02) | 27.02% ( -0.13) |
| Both teams to score 52.39% ( -0.03) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
