Copa Sudamericana | Group Stage
May 10, 2024 at 3am UK
Estadio Inca Garcilaso de la Vega
Deportivo Garcilaso0 - 2Lanus
Coverage of the Copa Sudamericana Group Stage clash between Deportivo Garcilaso and Lanus.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Deportivo Garcilaso 1-1 Cuiaba
Wednesday, April 24 at 1am in Copa Sudamericana
Wednesday, April 24 at 1am in Copa Sudamericana
Last Game: Metropolitanos 0-2 Lanus
Thursday, April 25 at 11pm in Copa Sudamericana
Thursday, April 25 at 11pm in Copa Sudamericana
Goals
for
for
20
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lanus win with a probability of 36.51%. A win for Deportivo Garcilaso had a probability of 35.55% and a draw had a probability of 27.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lanus win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.82%) and 0-2 (6.68%). The likeliest Deportivo Garcilaso win was 1-0 (11.05%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.14%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Lanus would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Deportivo Garcilaso | Draw | Lanus |
35.55% ( 0.21) | 27.94% ( 0.01) | 36.51% ( -0.22) |
| Both teams to score 47.97% ( -0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
