Copa Sudamericana | Group Stage
May 20, 2022 at 1.30am UK
Estadio Ciudad de Lanús - Néstor Díaz Pérez
Lanus1 - 2Wanderers
Coverage of the Copa Sudamericana Group Stage clash between Lanus and Montevideo Wanderers.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Rosario 0-0 Lanus
Monday, June 6 at 11pm in Argentine Primera Division
Monday, June 6 at 11pm in Argentine Primera Division
Next Game: Lanus vs. Defensa
Friday, June 10 at 11pm in Argentine Primera Division
Friday, June 10 at 11pm in Argentine Primera Division
Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
17 | San Lorenzo | 14 | -2 | 15 |
18 | Lanus | 13 | -1 | 14 |
19 | Arsenal Sarandi | 12 | 0 | 13 |
Last Game: Wanderers 1-2 Boston River
Monday, June 6 at 10.30pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Monday, June 6 at 10.30pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
8 | River Plate | 15 | 5 | 21 |
9 | Montevideo Wanderers | 15 | 5 | 21 |
10 | Defensor Sporting | 15 | -2 | 20 |
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lanus win with a probability of 44.46%. A win for Montevideo Wanderers had a probability of 30.52% and a draw had a probability of 25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lanus win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.14%) and 2-0 (7.38%). The likeliest Montevideo Wanderers win was 0-1 (7.65%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.82%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood.
Result | ||
Lanus | Draw | Montevideo Wanderers |
44.46% ( 0.01) | 25.02% ( 0) | 30.52% ( -0.01) |
Both teams to score 55.89% ( -0.02) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
52.69% ( -0.03) | 47.31% ( 0.03) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
30.47% ( -0.03) | 69.53% ( 0.03) |
Lanus Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.7% ( -0.01) | 21.3% ( 0.01) |