Copa Sudamericana | First Round

Mar 8, 2023 at 2am UK

LDU Quito
4 - 0
Delfin

Alzugaray (7'), Enrique Angulo (20'), Alvarado (78'), Caicedo (90+2' og.)
Ade (73')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Cuero (43'), Garcia (45+2')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Coverage of the Copa Sudamericana First Round clash between LDU Quito and Delfin.

Form, Standings, Stats

LDU Quito

Last Game: LDU Quito 1-1 Atletico GO
Wednesday, May 25 at 1.30am in Copa Sudamericana

Delfin

Last Game: 9 de Octubre 2-0 Delfin
Friday, March 18 at 12.30am in Copa Sudamericana

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a LDU Quito win with a probability of 62.59%. A draw had a probability of 20.7% and a win for Delfin had a probability of 16.69%.

The most likely scoreline for a LDU Quito win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.39%) and 2-1 (9.94%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.79%), while for a Delfin win it was 0-1 (4.82%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 3.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that LDU Quito would win this match.

Result
LDU Quito	Draw	Delfin
62.59% ( -0.22)	20.71% ( 0.1)	16.69% ( 0.13)

Both teams to score 52.99% (

-0.05)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

57.04% (

-0.2)

42.95% (

0.2)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

34.64% (

-0.2)

65.36% (

0.2)

LDU Quito Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

86.86% (

-0.13)

13.13% (

0.13)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

60.2% (

-0.26)

39.8% (

0.26)

Delfin Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

61% (

0.04)

38.99% (

-0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

24.28% (

0.04)

75.71% (

-0.04)

Score Analysis

LDU Quito 62.58%

Delfin 16.69%

Draw 20.71%

LDU Quito	Draw	Delfin
2-0 @ 10.55% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 10.39% ( 0.04) 2-1 @ 9.94% ( 0) 3-0 @ 7.14% ( -0.04) 3-1 @ 6.72% ( -0.03) 4-0 @ 3.62% ( -0.04) 4-1 @ 3.41% ( -0.03) 3-2 @ 3.17% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 1.61% ( -0.01) 5-0 @ 1.47% ( -0.02) 5-1 @ 1.39% ( -0.02) Other @ 3.18% Total : 62.58%	1-1 @ 9.79% ( 0.05) 0-0 @ 5.12% ( 0.05) 2-2 @ 4.68% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 0.99% ( -0) Other @ 0.13% Total : 20.71%	0-1 @ 4.82% ( 0.05) 1-2 @ 4.61% ( 0.03) 0-2 @ 2.27% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 1.47% ( 0) 1-3 @ 1.45% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.07% Total : 16.69%