MX23RW : Wednesday, March 12 06:05:00| >> :120:13408:13408:
Copa Sudamericana | First Round
Mar 8, 2023 at 2am UK
 

LDU Quito
4 - 0
Delfin

Alzugaray (7'), Enrique Angulo (20'), Alvarado (78'), Caicedo (90+2' og.)
Ade (73')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Cuero (43'), Garcia (45+2')
Coverage of the Copa Sudamericana First Round clash between LDU Quito and Delfin.

Form, Standings, Stats

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Last Game: LDU Quito 1-1 Atletico GO
Wednesday, May 25 at 1.30am in Copa Sudamericana
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Last Game: 9 de Octubre 2-0 Delfin
Friday, March 18 at 12.30am in Copa Sudamericana
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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a LDU Quito win with a probability of 62.59%. A draw had a probability of 20.7% and a win for Delfin had a probability of 16.69%.

The most likely scoreline for a LDU Quito win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.39%) and 2-1 (9.94%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.79%), while for a Delfin win it was 0-1 (4.82%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 3.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that LDU Quito would win this match.

Result
LDU QuitoDrawDelfin
62.59% (-0.224 -0.22) 20.71% (0.096 0.1) 16.69% (0.128 0.13)
Both teams to score 52.99% (-0.045000000000002 -0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.04% (-0.198 -0.2)42.95% (0.198 0.2)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.64% (-0.198 -0.2)65.36% (0.19800000000001 0.2)
LDU Quito Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.86% (-0.127 -0.13)13.13% (0.127 0.13)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
60.2% (-0.26000000000001 -0.26)39.8% (0.26 0.26)
Delfin Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61% (0.036999999999999 0.04)38.99% (-0.036999999999999 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.28% (0.035 0.04)75.71% (-0.035000000000011 -0.04)
Score Analysis
    LDU Quito 62.58%
    Delfin 16.69%
    Draw 20.71%
LDU QuitoDrawDelfin
2-0 @ 10.55% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
1-0 @ 10.39% (0.040000000000001 0.04)
2-1 @ 9.94% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-0 @ 7.14% (-0.039000000000001 -0.04)
3-1 @ 6.72% (-0.031 -0.03)
4-0 @ 3.62% (-0.038 -0.04)
4-1 @ 3.41% (-0.033 -0.03)
3-2 @ 3.17% (-0.011 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.61% (-0.013 -0.01)
5-0 @ 1.47% (-0.022 -0.02)
5-1 @ 1.39% (-0.02 -0.02)
Other @ 3.18%
Total : 62.58%
1-1 @ 9.79% (0.048999999999999 0.05)
0-0 @ 5.12% (0.045000000000001 0.05)
2-2 @ 4.68% (0.0059999999999993 0.01)
3-3 @ 0.99% (-0.003 -0)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 20.71%
0-1 @ 4.82% (0.047000000000001 0.05)
1-2 @ 4.61% (0.028 0.03)
0-2 @ 2.27% (0.024 0.02)
2-3 @ 1.47% (0.0030000000000001 0)
1-3 @ 1.45% (0.011 0.01)
Other @ 2.07%
Total : 16.69%

rhs 2.0
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