Copa Libertadores | Second Round | 2nd Leg
Feb 28, 2025 at 12.30am UK
Estadio de la Universidad Nacional San Agustin
Melgar1 - 0Tolima
FT(HT: 0-0)
Coverage of the Copa Libertadores Second Round clash between Melgar and Deportes Tolima.
Form, Standings, Stats
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Melgar win with a probability of 60.52%. A draw had a probability of 24.3% and a win for Deportes Tolima had a probability of 15.15%.
The most likely scoreline for a Melgar win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.27%) and 2-1 (8.95%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.96%), while for a Deportes Tolima win it was 0-1 (6.71%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 16.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Melgar in this match.
| Result | ||
| Melgar | Draw | Deportes Tolima |
60.52% ( -0.33) | 24.33% ( 0.31) | 15.15% ( 0.02) |
| Both teams to score 39.46% ( -0.69) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 40.58% ( -0.97) | 59.42% ( 0.97) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 20.21% ( -0.76) | 79.79% ( 0.75) |
| Melgar Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.46% ( -0.5) | 19.54% ( 0.5) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 48.56% ( -0.82) | 51.44% ( 0.82) |
| Deportes Tolima Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 49.04% ( -0.55) | 50.95% ( 0.55) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 14.69% ( -0.37) | 85.31% ( 0.37) |
| Score Analysis |
Melgar 60.51%
Deportes Tolima 15.15%
Draw 24.33%
| Melgar | Draw | Deportes Tolima |
| 1-0 @ 16.25% ( 0.34) 2-0 @ 13.27% ( 0.07)2-1 @ 8.95% ( -0.1)3-0 @ 7.22% ( -0.08)3-1 @ 4.87% ( -0.13)4-0 @ 2.95% ( -0.08)4-1 @ 1.99% ( -0.09)3-2 @ 1.64% ( -0.07)5-0 @ 0.96% ( -0.04)Other @ 2.41% Total : 60.51% | 1-1 @ 10.96% ( 0.06) 0-0 @ 9.96% ( 0.36)2-2 @ 3.02% ( -0.08)Other @ 0.4% Total : 24.33% | 0-1 @ 6.71% ( 0.14) 1-2 @ 3.7% ( -0.04)0-2 @ 2.26% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.48% Total : 15.15% |
Head to Head
Feb 21, 2025 12.30am
