Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Melgar win with a probability of 70.93%. A draw had a probability of 18% and a win for Aurora had a probability of 11.08%.

The most likely scoreline for a Melgar win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.51%) and 2-1 (9.47%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.55%), while for an Aurora win it was 0-1 (3.87%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood.

Result
Melgar	Draw	Aurora
70.93% ( -0.01)	17.99% ( 0.01)	11.08% ( -0.01)

Both teams to score 46.69% (

-0.06)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

56.68% (

-0.08)

43.31% (

0.07)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

34.29% (

-0.07)

65.71% (

0.07)

Melgar Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

89.06% (

-0.02)

10.94% (

0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

64.86% (

-0.05)

35.14% (

0.05)

Aurora Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

52.43% (

-0.06)

47.57% (

0.06)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

17.08% (

-0.04)

82.91% (

0.04)

Score Analysis

Melgar 70.92%

Aurora 11.08%

Draw 17.99%

Melgar	Draw	Aurora
2-0 @ 12.73% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 11.51% ( 0.03) 2-1 @ 9.47% ( -0) 3-0 @ 9.4% ( 0) 3-1 @ 6.98% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 5.2% ( -0) 4-1 @ 3.86% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 2.59% ( -0.01) 5-0 @ 2.3% ( -0) 5-1 @ 1.71% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 1.44% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.73% Total : 70.92%	1-1 @ 8.55% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 5.2% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 3.52% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.71% Total : 17.99%	0-1 @ 3.87% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 3.18% ( -0) 0-2 @ 1.44% Other @ 2.6% Total : 11.08%