Copa Libertadores | First Round | 2nd Leg
Feb 15, 2024 at 12.30am UK
Estadio de la Universidad Nacional San Agustin
Melgar1 - 1Aurora
FT(HT: 1-1)
Coverage of the Copa Libertadores First Round clash between Melgar and Aurora.
Form, Standings, Stats
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Melgar win with a probability of 70.93%. A draw had a probability of 18% and a win for Aurora had a probability of 11.08%.
The most likely scoreline for a Melgar win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.51%) and 2-1 (9.47%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.55%), while for an Aurora win it was 0-1 (3.87%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Melgar | Draw | Aurora |
70.93% ( -0.01) | 17.99% ( 0.01) | 11.08% ( -0.01) |
| Both teams to score 46.69% ( -0.06) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.68% ( -0.08) | 43.31% ( 0.07) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.29% ( -0.07) | 65.71% ( 0.07) |
| Melgar Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 89.06% ( -0.02) | 10.94% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 64.86% ( -0.05) | 35.14% ( 0.05) |
| Aurora Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 52.43% ( -0.06) | 47.57% ( 0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 17.08% ( -0.04) | 82.91% ( 0.04) |
| Score Analysis |
Melgar 70.92%
Aurora 11.08%
Draw 17.99%
| Melgar | Draw | Aurora |
| 2-0 @ 12.73% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 11.51% ( 0.03)2-1 @ 9.47% ( -0)3-0 @ 9.4% ( 0)3-1 @ 6.98% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 5.2% ( -0)4-1 @ 3.86% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 2.59% ( -0.01)5-0 @ 2.3% ( -0)5-1 @ 1.71% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 1.44% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.73% Total : 70.92% | 1-1 @ 8.55% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 5.2% ( 0.02)2-2 @ 3.52% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.71% Total : 17.99% | 0-1 @ 3.87% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 3.18% ( -0)0-2 @ 1.44% Other @ 2.6% Total : 11.08% |
Head to Head
Feb 8, 2024 12.30am
