Copa Sudamericana | Group Stage
Apr 1, 2025 at 11pm UK
Nacional2 - 0Independiente
Coverage of the Copa Sudamericana Group Stage clash between Nacional Potosi and Independiente.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Universitario de Vinto 0-1 Nacional
Wednesday, March 5 at 12.30am in Copa Sudamericana
Wednesday, March 5 at 12.30am in Copa Sudamericana
Last Game: Independiente 4-0 Godoy Cruz
Saturday, March 29 at 9.45pm in Argentine Primera Division
Saturday, March 29 at 9.45pm in Argentine Primera Division
Goals
for
for
20
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nacional Potosi win with a probability of 39.68%. A win for Independiente had a probability of 33.02% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nacional Potosi win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.34%) and 2-0 (7.24%). The likeliest Independiente win was 0-1 (10.01%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.92%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Nacional Potosi would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Nacional Potosi | Draw | Independiente |
39.68% ( -4.28) | 27.3% ( 0.13) | 33.02% ( 4.15) |
| Both teams to score 49.58% ( 1.23) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
