Copa Sudamericana | Group Stage
Apr 2, 2025 at 1.30am UK
Estadio Palogrande
Once Caldas0 - 1Fluminense
Cuesta (7'), Garcia Castillo (68'), Garcia Rojas (70'), Manuel Arteaga Arboleda (90+2')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Coverage of the Copa Sudamericana Group Stage clash between Once Caldas and Fluminense.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Fortaleza 2-0 Fluminense
Saturday, March 29 at 9.30pm in Brasileiro
Saturday, March 29 at 9.30pm in Brasileiro
Goals
for
for
0
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fluminense win with a probability of 43%. A draw had a probability of 29.2% and a win for Once Caldas had a probability of 27.81%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fluminense win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.76%) and 1-2 (8.05%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.2%), while for a Once Caldas win it was 1-0 (10.83%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 14.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Fluminense in this match.
| Result | ||
| Once Caldas | Draw | Fluminense |
27.81% ( 3.35) | 29.19% ( 1.31) | 43% ( -4.66) |
| Both teams to score 42.35% ( -0.97) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
