Copa Sudamericana | First Round
Mar 6, 2025 at 12.30am UK
Estadio Palogrande
Once Caldas1 - 0Millonarios
Barrios (80')
Arley Zapata Ramirez (32'), Andres Malagon Piracun (68'), Barrios (81'), Beltran (83'), Angel Palacios Mena (90+3')
Arley Zapata Ramirez (32'), Andres Malagon Piracun (68'), Barrios (81'), Beltran (83'), Angel Palacios Mena (90+3')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Andres Valencia Mena (23'), Pablo Vargas (32'), Giordana (90+1')
Coverage of the Copa Sudamericana First Round clash between Once Caldas and Millonarios.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Once Caldas 0-2 Deportivo Santani
Friday, February 22 at 12.30am in Copa Sudamericana
Friday, February 22 at 12.30am in Copa Sudamericana
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Once Caldas win with a probability of 38.05%. A win for Millonarios had a probability of 32.75% and a draw had a probability of 29.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Once Caldas win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.67%) and 2-0 (7.37%). The likeliest Millonarios win was 0-1 (11.69%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.39%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Once Caldas in this match.
| Result | ||
| Once Caldas | Draw | Millonarios |
38.05% ( 0.43) | 29.19% ( -0.09) | 32.75% ( -0.33) |
| Both teams to score 44.09% ( 0.2) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
