MX23RW : Wednesday, March 12 06:03:15| >> :120:13303:13303:
Copa Sudamericana | Group Stage
Apr 19, 2023 at 3am UK
Estadio Nemesio Camacho El Campín

Santa Fe
2 - 1
Gimnasia

Mantilla (57'), Rodallega (90+6')
De La Rosa (9'), Torres (34')
Sambueza (90')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Lescano (41')
Barros Schelotto (37')
Coverage of the Copa Sudamericana Group Stage clash between Santa Fe and Gimnasia.

Form, Standings, Stats

Santa Fe

All competitions
Last Game: Goias 0-0 Santa Fe
Tuesday, April 4 at 11pm in Copa Sudamericana

Gimnasia

All competitions
Copa Sudamericana
Last Game: Gimnasia 0-2 Belgrano
Sunday, April 16 at 1.30am in Argentine Primera Division

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Santa Fe win with a probability of 53.14%. A draw had a probability of 25.9% and a win for Gimnasia had a probability of 20.93%.

The most likely scoreline for a Santa Fe win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.83%) and 2-1 (9.17%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.07%), while for a Gimnasia win it was 0-1 (7.94%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Santa Fe would win this match.

Result
Santa FeDrawGimnasia
53.14% (0.896 0.9) 25.94% (-0.399 -0.4) 20.93% (-0.498 -0.5)
Both teams to score 44.61% (0.421 0.42)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
42.14% (0.886 0.89)57.86% (-0.887 -0.89)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.42% (0.696 0.7)78.58% (-0.69500000000001 -0.7)
Santa Fe Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.13% (0.756 0.76)21.88% (-0.757 -0.76)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.88% (1.136 1.14)55.13% (-1.137 -1.14)
Gimnasia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
57.1% (-0.013999999999996 -0.01)42.9% (0.012999999999998 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
20.8% (-0.012 -0.01)79.21% (0.010999999999996 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Santa Fe 53.12%
    Gimnasia 20.93%
    Draw 25.94%
Santa FeDrawGimnasia
1-0 @ 14.26% (-0.16 -0.16)
2-0 @ 10.83% (0.12 0.12)
2-1 @ 9.17% (0.102 0.1)
3-0 @ 5.49% (0.184 0.18)
3-1 @ 4.65% (0.154 0.15)
4-0 @ 2.09% (0.115 0.12)
3-2 @ 1.97% (0.064 0.06)
4-1 @ 1.77% (0.097 0.1)
Other @ 2.91%
Total : 53.12%
1-1 @ 12.07% (-0.14 -0.14)
0-0 @ 9.39% (-0.322 -0.32)
2-2 @ 3.88% (0.041 0.04)
Other @ 0.6%
Total : 25.94%
0-1 @ 7.94% (-0.275 -0.28)
1-2 @ 5.11% (-0.061 -0.06)
0-2 @ 3.36% (-0.118 -0.12)
1-3 @ 1.44% (-0.018 -0.02)
2-3 @ 1.1% (0.011 0.01)
0-3 @ 0.95% (-0.034 -0.03)
Other @ 1.03%
Total : 20.93%

Head to Head
Mar 13, 2021 12.30am
Santa Fe
1-1
Gimnasia
Canete (43')
Machuca (45+1'), Galvan (81'), Acevedo (87')
Barrios (73')
Mancilla (35')
rhs 2.0
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