MX23RW : Sunday, September 29 19:14:23| >> :60:152:152:
Copa Sudamericana | First Round
Mar 8, 2024 at 2am UK
Estadio Bellavista de Ambato

Tecnico Universitario
0 - 3
U. Catolica


Maciel (59'), Carcelen (80')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Diaz (3', 47'), Cifuente (11')
Loor (45+6'), Cifuente (56'), Grillo (60'), Minda (78')
Coverage of the Copa Sudamericana First Round clash between Tecnico Universitario and Universidad Catolica.

Form, Standings, Stats

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:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:
:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:
Last Game: Millonarios 2-1 U. Catolica
Friday, March 3 at 12am in Copa Libertadores
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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tecnico Universitario win with a probability of 38.48%. A win for Universidad Catolica had a probability of 34.17% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Tecnico Universitario win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.2%) and 2-0 (6.97%). The likeliest Universidad Catolica win was 0-1 (10.23%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.95%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 2.4% likelihood.

Result
Tecnico UniversitarioDrawUniversidad Catolica
38.48% (-0.123 -0.12) 27.35% (0.173 0.17) 34.17% (-0.055 -0.05)
Both teams to score 49.65% (-0.555 -0.56)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.12% (-0.694 -0.69)55.88% (0.69 0.69)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.01% (-0.567 -0.57)76.99% (0.56399999999999 0.56)
Tecnico Universitario Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.79% (-0.40300000000001 -0.4)28.2% (0.399 0.4)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.1% (-0.511 -0.51)63.9% (0.508 0.51)
Universidad Catolica Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.15% (-0.38500000000001 -0.39)30.85% (0.38 0.38)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.87% (-0.454 -0.45)67.12% (0.449 0.45)
Score Analysis
    Tecnico Universitario 38.48%
    Universidad Catolica 34.17%
    Draw 27.34%
Tecnico UniversitarioDrawUniversidad Catolica
1-0 @ 11.01% (0.17 0.17)
2-1 @ 8.2% (-0.051 -0.05)
2-0 @ 6.97% (0.03 0.03)
3-1 @ 3.46% (-0.061 -0.06)
3-0 @ 2.94% (-0.021 -0.02)
3-2 @ 2.03% (-0.057 -0.06)
4-1 @ 1.09% (-0.032 -0.03)
4-0 @ 0.93% (-0.017 -0.02)
Other @ 1.85%
Total : 38.48%
1-1 @ 12.95% (0.069999999999999 0.07)
0-0 @ 8.7% (0.229 0.23)
2-2 @ 4.82% (-0.082 -0.08)
Other @ 0.88%
Total : 27.34%
0-1 @ 10.23% (0.17 0.17)
1-2 @ 7.62% (-0.043 -0.04)
0-2 @ 6.02% (0.034000000000001 0.03)
1-3 @ 2.99% (-0.048 -0.05)
0-3 @ 2.36% (-0.012 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.89% (-0.052 -0.05)
Other @ 3.07%
Total : 34.17%

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