While their opponents have nothing to play for, Union La Calera will be motivated to pick up the three points that could help them reach the knockout round, and we think that they will do just that by utilising home advantage to clinch a potentially crucial victory. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Union La Calera win with a probability of 46.9%. A draw had a probability of 28.8% and a win for Universidad Catolica had a probability of 24.34%.

The most likely scoreline for a Union La Calera win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.87%) and 2-1 (8.28%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.89%), while for a Universidad Catolica win it was 0-1 (10.03%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 1.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Union La Calera would win this match.

Result
Union La Calera	Draw	Universidad Catolica
46.9% ( 0.01)	28.77% ( -0)	24.34% ( -0.01)

Both teams to score 41.08%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

35.68% (

64.32% (

-0)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

16.59% (

83.41%

Union La Calera Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.33% (

0.01)

27.67% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.78% (

0.01)

63.22% (

-0.01)

Universidad Catolica Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

56.79% (

-0.01)

43.21% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

20.53% (

-0)

79.47% (

Score Analysis

Union La Calera 46.9%

Universidad Catolica 24.34%

Draw 28.76%

Union La Calera	Draw	Universidad Catolica
1-0 @ 15.36% 2-0 @ 9.87% ( 0) 2-1 @ 8.28% ( 0) 3-0 @ 4.23% ( 0) 3-1 @ 3.55% ( 0) 3-2 @ 1.49% 4-0 @ 1.36% ( 0) 4-1 @ 1.14% Other @ 1.63% Total : 46.9%	1-1 @ 12.89% 0-0 @ 11.95% 2-2 @ 3.47% Other @ 0.45% Total : 28.76%	0-1 @ 10.03% 1-2 @ 5.41% ( -0) 0-2 @ 4.21% ( -0) 1-3 @ 1.51% ( -0) 0-3 @ 1.18% ( -0) 2-3 @ 0.97% Other @ 1.03% Total : 24.34%