Copa Libertadores | Second Round | 1st Leg

Feb 24, 2023 at 12am UK

Estadio Olímpico Atahualpa

U. Catolica
0 - 0
Millonarios

(Millonarios win 2-1 on aggregate)

Anangono (33'), Diaz (36')

Giraldo (36')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Coverage of the Copa Libertadores Second Round clash between Universidad Catolica and Millonarios.

Form, Standings, Stats

Universidad Catolica

Last Game: Union La Calera 3-2 U. Catolica
Tuesday, May 24 at 11.15pm in Copa Sudamericana

Millonarios

Last Game: River Plate 2-0 Millonarios
Sunday, January 15 at 12.30am in Club Friendlies 1

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Universidad Catolica win with a probability of 45.82%. A win for Millonarios had a probability of 27.13% and a draw had a probability of 27%.

The most likely scoreline for a Universidad Catolica win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.86%) and 2-0 (8.82%). The likeliest Millonarios win was 0-1 (9.15%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.73%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood.

Result
Universidad Catolica	Draw	Millonarios
45.82% ( -0.08)	27.05% ( -0.05)	27.13% ( 0.14)

Both teams to score 47.58% (

0.24)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

42.89% (

0.26)

57.11% (

-0.27)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

22.02% (

0.21)

77.98% (

-0.21)

Universidad Catolica Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.12% (

0.08)

24.88% (

-0.08)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.51% (

0.1)

59.49% (

-0.11)

Millonarios Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

63.34% (

0.26)

36.65% (

-0.26)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

26.56% (

0.26)

73.44% (

-0.26)

Score Analysis

Universidad Catolica 45.81%

Millonarios 27.13%

Draw 27.05%

Universidad Catolica	Draw	Millonarios
1-0 @ 12.68% ( -0.1) 2-1 @ 8.86% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 8.82% ( -0.05) 3-1 @ 4.11% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 4.09% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 2.06% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 1.43% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 1.42% ( -0) Other @ 2.34% Total : 45.81%	1-1 @ 12.73% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 9.12% ( -0.09) 2-2 @ 4.44% ( 0.04) Other @ 0.75% Total : 27.05%	0-1 @ 9.15% ( -0.03) 1-2 @ 6.39% ( 0.04) 0-2 @ 4.59% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 2.14% ( 0.03) 0-3 @ 1.54% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 1.49% ( 0.02) Other @ 1.84% Total : 27.13%