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Copa Diego Maradona | Second Phase
Jul 29, 2021 at 1am UK
Estadio Ciudad de Lanus

Lanus
0 - 3
River Plate


Aude (12'), Gonzalez (29'), Bernabei (78')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Zuculini (31'), De La Cruz (41', 51')
Carrascal (17'), Diaz (49')
Coverage of the Copa Diego Maradona Second Phase clash between Lanus and River Plate.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a River Plate win with a probability of 55.62%. A draw had a probability of 23.3% and a win for Lanus had a probability of 21.11%.

The most likely scoreline for a River Plate win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.83%) and 0-2 (9.82%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.05%), while for a Lanus win it was 1-0 (6.22%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that River Plate would win this match.

Result
LanusDrawRiver Plate
21.11%23.28%55.62%
Both teams to score 52.54%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.52%47.48%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.31%69.69%
Lanus Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.23%36.78%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.44%73.56%
River Plate Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.09%16.91%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.04%46.96%
Score Analysis
    Lanus 21.11%
    River Plate 55.61%
    Draw 23.27%
LanusDrawRiver Plate
1-0 @ 6.22%
2-1 @ 5.53%
2-0 @ 3.11%
3-1 @ 1.84%
3-2 @ 1.64%
3-0 @ 1.04%
Other @ 1.73%
Total : 21.11%
1-1 @ 11.05%
0-0 @ 6.22%
2-2 @ 4.91%
3-3 @ 0.97%
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 23.27%
0-1 @ 11.05%
1-2 @ 9.83%
0-2 @ 9.82%
1-3 @ 5.82%
0-3 @ 5.82%
2-3 @ 2.91%
1-4 @ 2.59%
0-4 @ 2.59%
2-4 @ 1.29%
0-5 @ 0.92%
1-5 @ 0.92%
Other @ 2.06%
Total : 55.61%

Head to Head
Aug 4, 2019 9.45pm
Gameweek 2
River Plate
3-0
Lanus
Borre (23' pen.), Suarez (30', 87')
Carrascal (45'), Perez (67'), Fernandez (80'), Martinez (92')

Pasquini (28')
Sep 29, 2018 1.15am
Gameweek 7
Lanus
1-5
River Plate
Maciel (17')
Garcia (57')
Scocco (28'), Ibanez (53' og.), Lollo (58'), De La Cruz (64'), Palacios (71')
Lollo (34'), Moreira (75'), Sosa (83')
rhs 2.0
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