COSAFA Cup | Fifth-Place Playoff
Jul 17, 2022 at 9am UK
Sugar Ray Xulu Stadium
South Africa2 - 1Botswana
Van Wyk (34'), Rasebotja (80')
Mzimela (64'), Shezi (90+3')
Mzimela (64'), Shezi (90+3')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Kesekile (90+3')
Kolagano (32')
Lekoba (79')
Kolagano (32')
Lekoba (79')
Coverage of the COSAFA Cup Fifth-Place Playoff clash between South Africa and Botswana.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Madagascar 1-2 South Africa
Friday, July 15 at 11am in COSAFA Cup
Friday, July 15 at 11am in COSAFA Cup
| Current Group D Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Morocco | 3 | 3 | 9 |
| 2 | Ivory Coast | 3 | 3 | 6 |
| 3 | South Africa | 3 | -1 | 3 |
| 4 | Namibia | 3 | -5 | 0 |
Last Game: Botswana 2-0 Eswatini
Friday, July 15 at 2pm in COSAFA Cup
Friday, July 15 at 2pm in COSAFA Cup
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a South Africa win with a probability of 43.08%. A win for Botswana had a probability of 30.13% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a South Africa win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.76%) and 2-0 (7.91%). The likeliest Botswana win was 0-1 (9.21%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.7%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that South Africa would win this match.
| Result | ||
| South Africa | Draw | Botswana |
| 43.08% | 26.78% | 30.13% |
| Both teams to score 50.11% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
