Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Zambia win with a probability of 45.23%. A win for Botswana had a probability of 30.37% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Zambia win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.9%) and 2-0 (7.2%). The likeliest Botswana win was 1-2 (7.32%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.41%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Zambia in this match.
| Result | ||
| Zambia | Draw | Botswana |
| 45.23% | 24.4% | 30.37% |
| Both teams to score 57.91% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.38% | 44.61% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.02% | 66.98% |
| Zambia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.14% | 19.85% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 48.05% | 51.95% |
| Botswana Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.26% | 27.74% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 36.69% | 63.3% |
| Score Analysis |
Zambia 45.23%
Botswana 30.37%
Draw 24.39%
| Zambia | Draw | Botswana |
| 2-1 @ 9.23% 1-0 @ 8.9% 2-0 @ 7.2% 3-1 @ 4.97% 3-0 @ 3.88% 3-2 @ 3.19% 4-1 @ 2.01% 4-0 @ 1.57% 4-2 @ 1.29% Other @ 2.99% Total : 45.23% | 1-1 @ 11.41% 2-2 @ 5.92% 0-0 @ 5.51% 3-3 @ 1.36% Other @ 0.19% Total : 24.39% | 1-2 @ 7.32% 0-1 @ 7.06% 0-2 @ 4.53% 1-3 @ 3.13% 2-3 @ 2.53% 0-3 @ 1.94% 1-4 @ 1% Other @ 2.86% Total : 30.37% |
How you voted: Zambia vs Botswana
Zambia
80.0%Draw
5.0%Botswana
15.0%20
