Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Valence win with a probability of 63.6%. A draw had a probability of 18.4% and a win for Arles had a probability of 18.04%.
The most likely scoreline for a Valence win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (7.55%) and 2-0 (7.54%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.69%), while for an Arles win it was 1-2 (4.76%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 2.6% likelihood.