MX23RW : Wednesday, December 18 09:20:15| >> :600:1289292:1289292:
DFB-Pokal | First Round
Aug 19, 2024 at 5pm UK
Stadion der Freundschaft
Werder Bremen logo

Energie Cottbus
1 - 3
Werder Bremen

Rorig (70')
Pronichev (53'), Kusic (71')
Hajrulla (78')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Topp (32', 37', 55')
Stark (47'), Njinmah (77')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's DFB-Pokal clash between Energie Cottbus and Werder Bremen, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Energie Cottbus

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Last Game: Energie Cottbus 0-3 Hannover 96 II
Saturday, July 27 at 1pm in Club Friendlies 3
:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:

Werder Bremen

All competitions
Last Game: Rennes 1-1 Werder Bremen
Saturday, August 10 at 1.30pm in Club Friendlies 3

We said: Energie Cottbus 2-3 Werder Bremen

 Although Energie Cottbus demonstrated their attacking prowess last time out, they also showed their defensive frailty. It would not be surprising if Werder Bremen, despite conceding chances themselves, were to win on Monday and score multiple goals in the process. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Werder Bremen win with a probability of 47.58%. A win for Energie Cottbus had a probability of 29.67% and a draw had a probability of 22.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Werder Bremen win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.19%) and 0-2 (6.58%). The likeliest Energie Cottbus win was 2-1 (7.11%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.11%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Werder Bremen would win this match.

Result
Energie CottbusDrawWerder Bremen
29.67% (-0.282 -0.28) 22.75% (0.010000000000002 0.01) 47.58% (0.272 0.27)
Both teams to score 63.39% (-0.219 -0.22)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
62.77% (-0.211 -0.21)37.23% (0.211 0.21)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
40.56% (-0.229 -0.23)59.44% (0.229 0.23)
Energie Cottbus Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.49% (-0.279 -0.28)24.5% (0.28 0.28)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.03% (-0.395 -0.4)58.96% (0.395 0.39)
Werder Bremen Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.96% (0.021000000000001 0.02)16.03% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
54.61% (0.036999999999999 0.04)45.38% (-0.036999999999999 -0.04)
Score Analysis
    Energie Cottbus 29.67%
    Werder Bremen 47.58%
    Draw 22.74%
Energie CottbusDrawWerder Bremen
2-1 @ 7.11% (-0.038 -0.04)
1-0 @ 5.53% (0.012 0.01)
2-0 @ 3.89% (-0.023 -0.02)
3-1 @ 3.33% (-0.045 -0.04)
3-2 @ 3.05% (-0.04 -0.04)
3-0 @ 1.82% (-0.025 -0.02)
4-1 @ 1.17% (-0.026 -0.03)
4-2 @ 1.07% (-0.022 -0.02)
Other @ 2.7%
Total : 29.67%
1-1 @ 10.11% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
2-2 @ 6.51% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
0-0 @ 3.93% (0.04 0.04)
3-3 @ 1.86% (-0.022 -0.02)
Other @ 0.33%
Total : 22.74%
1-2 @ 9.26% (0.032 0.03)
0-1 @ 7.19% (0.078 0.08)
0-2 @ 6.58% (0.076 0.08)
1-3 @ 5.65% (0.023 0.02)
0-3 @ 4.02% (0.049 0.05)
2-3 @ 3.97% (-0.016 -0.02)
1-4 @ 2.58% (0.012 0.01)
0-4 @ 1.84% (0.024 0.02)
2-4 @ 1.82% (-0.006 -0.01)
1-5 @ 0.95% (0.005 0.01)
Other @ 3.73%
Total : 47.58%

How you voted: Energie Cottbus vs Werder Bremen

Energie Cottbus
11.3%
Draw
9.4%
Werder Bremen
79.2%
53
Head to Head
Aug 1, 2022 5.01pm
First Round
Energie Cottbus
1-2
Werder Bremen
Heike (79')
Schmid (43'), Weiser (73')
Pieper (72'), Gross (85')
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