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DFB-Pokal | First Round
Aug 1, 2022 at 5.01pm UK
Stadion der Freundschaft
Werder Bremen logo

Energie Cottbus
1 - 2
Werder Bremen

Heike (79')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Schmid (43'), Weiser (73')
Pieper (72'), Gross (85')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's DFB-Pokal clash between Energie Cottbus and Werder Bremen, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Energie Cottbus

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Last Game: Energie Cottbus 1-3 Bayern
Monday, August 12 at 7.45pm in DFB-Pokal
:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:

Werder Bremen

Last Six:
    Last Game: Besiktas 2-1 Werder Bremen
    Saturday, July 9 at 3pm in Club Friendlies 1

    We said: Energie Cottbus 0-2 Werder Bremen

     We expect a fairly low-tempo affair with this cup tie representing both sides' first competitive matches of the season. Ultimately, both sides may be content enough with a narrow victory for the visitors, who will be desperate to avoid any upset ahead of their return to the Bundesliga next weekend. Read more.

    Data Analysis

    Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Werder Bremen win with a probability of 78.05%. A draw had a probability of 13.2% and a win for Energie Cottbus had a probability of 8.74%.

    The most likely scoreline for a Werder Bremen win was 0-2 with a probability of 9.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-3 (9.05%) and 1-2 (8.47%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.83%), while for a Energie Cottbus win it was 2-1 (2.64%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Werder Bremen would win this match.

    Result
    Energie CottbusDrawWerder Bremen
    8.74% (0.0229 0.02) 13.2% (0.123 0.12) 78.05% (-0.155 -0.16)
    Both teams to score 56.26% (-0.519 -0.52)
    Goals
    Over 2.5Under 2.5
    73.21% (-0.62700000000001 -0.63)26.78% (0.619 0.62)
    Over 3.5Under 3.5
    52.78% (-0.797 -0.8)47.21% (0.789 0.79)
    Energie Cottbus Goals
    Over 0.5Under 0.5
    59.53% (-0.45399999999999 -0.45)40.46% (0.446 0.45)
    Over 1.5Under 1.5
    22.92% (-0.412 -0.41)77.07% (0.404 0.4)
    Werder Bremen Goals
    Over 0.5Under 0.5
    94.5% (-0.158 -0.16)5.49% (0.1499 0.15)
    Over 1.5Under 1.5
    78.57% (-0.44499999999999 -0.44)21.43% (0.436 0.44)
    Score Analysis
        Energie Cottbus 8.74%
        Werder Bremen 78.05%
        Draw 13.21%
    Energie CottbusDrawWerder Bremen
    2-1 @ 2.64% (0.013 0.01)
    1-0 @ 2.01% (0.053 0.05)
    3-2 @ 1.16% (-0.019 -0.02)
    2-0 @ 0.91% (0.013 0.01)
    Other @ 2.03%
    Total : 8.74%
    		1-1 @ 5.83% (0.098999999999999 0.1)
    2-2 @ 3.83% (-0.018 -0.02)
    0-0 @ 2.22% (0.085 0.09)
    3-3 @ 1.12% (-0.03 -0.03)
    Other @ 0.2%
    Total : 13.21%
    		0-2 @ 9.36% (0.183 0.18)
    0-3 @ 9.05% (0.093 0.09)
    1-2 @ 8.47% (0.064 0.06)
    1-3 @ 8.19% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
    0-4 @ 6.57% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
    0-1 @ 6.45% (0.186 0.19)
    1-4 @ 5.94% (-0.068000000000001 -0.07)
    0-5 @ 3.81% (-0.034 -0.03)
    2-3 @ 3.7% (-0.053 -0.05)
    1-5 @ 3.45% (-0.073 -0.07)
    2-4 @ 2.69% (-0.064 -0.06)
    0-6 @ 1.84% (-0.034 -0.03)
    1-6 @ 1.67% (-0.051 -0.05)
    2-5 @ 1.56% (-0.052 -0.05)
    Other @ 5.31%
    Total : 78.05%

    How you voted: Energie Cottbus vs Werder Bremen

    Energie Cottbus
    8.3%
    Draw
    16.7%
    Werder Bremen
    75.0%
    24
    rhs 2.0
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