MX23RW : Tuesday, March 11 01:42:07| >> :600:103826:103826:
DFB-Pokal | First Round
Aug 13, 2023 at 5pm UK
Stadion der Freundschaft
Paderborn logo

Energie Cottbus
0 - 7
SC Paderborn


Hofmann (27'), Pelivan (32'), Dovn Ndualu (38')
FT(HT: 0-3)
Pelivan (3' og.), Musliu (11'), Bilbija (20', 51'), Muslija (64'), Klaas (83'), Hansen (85')
Coverage of the DFB-Pokal First Round clash between Energie Cottbus and SC Paderborn.

Form, Standings, Stats

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Last Game: Energie Cottbus 1-2 Werder Bremen
Monday, August 1 at 5.01pm in DFB-Pokal
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Last Game: SC Paderborn 1-1 Osnabruck
Friday, August 4 at 5.30pm in 2.Bundesliga

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a SC Paderborn win with a probability of 60.57%. A draw had a probability of 20.3% and a win for Energie Cottbus had a probability of 19.13%.

The most likely scoreline for a SC Paderborn win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.78%) and 0-1 (8.22%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.22%), while for a Energie Cottbus win it was 2-1 (5.17%). The actual scoreline of 0-7 was predicted with a 0.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that SC Paderborn would win this match.

Result
Energie CottbusDrawSC Paderborn
19.13% (-0.118 -0.12) 20.29% (-0.048999999999999 -0.05) 60.57% (0.16 0.16)
Both teams to score 59.44% (-0.048000000000002 -0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
63.19% (0.036999999999999 0.04)36.8% (-0.044000000000004 -0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
41.02% (0.040000000000006 0.04)58.97% (-0.046000000000006 -0.05)
Energie Cottbus Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.39% (-0.099000000000004 -0.1)32.6% (0.091999999999999 0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.85% (-0.11 -0.11)69.14% (0.102 0.1)
SC Paderborn Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.19% (0.051999999999992 0.05)11.8% (-0.058999999999999 -0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
62.96% (0.117 0.12)37.03% (-0.125 -0.13)
Score Analysis
    Energie Cottbus 19.13%
    SC Paderborn 60.57%
    Draw 20.29%
Energie CottbusDrawSC Paderborn
2-1 @ 5.17% (-0.025 -0.03)
1-0 @ 4.31% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-0 @ 2.42% (-0.018 -0.02)
3-2 @ 2.06% (-0.01 -0.01)
3-1 @ 1.93% (-0.014 -0.01)
3-0 @ 0.9% (-0.009 -0.01)
Other @ 2.34%
Total : 19.13%
1-1 @ 9.22% (-0.022 -0.02)
2-2 @ 5.52% (-0.014 -0.01)
0-0 @ 3.85% (-0.008 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.47% (-0.0050000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 0.24%
Total : 20.29%
1-2 @ 9.85%
0-2 @ 8.78% (0.022 0.02)
0-1 @ 8.22% (0.0019999999999989 0)
1-3 @ 7.01% (0.016999999999999 0.02)
0-3 @ 6.26% (0.031 0.03)
2-3 @ 3.93% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
1-4 @ 3.75% (0.017 0.02)
0-4 @ 3.34% (0.024 0.02)
2-4 @ 2.1% (0.004 0)
1-5 @ 1.6% (0.011 0.01)
0-5 @ 1.43% (0.013 0.01)
Other @ 4.3%
Total : 60.57%

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