MX23RW : Sunday, November 17 12:21:11| >> :60:584:584:
Club Friendlies
Jul 21, 2024 at 2pm UK
BG Stadium
Dortmund logo

Pathum Utd
4 - 0
Dortmund

Lorenzen (14'), Dangda (44'), Vongkorn (65', 88')
FT(HT: 2-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's friendly clash between BG Pathum United and Borussia Dortmund, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

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Last Game: Johor Darul 4-1 Pathum Utd
Tuesday, December 12 at 10am in AFC Champions League
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We said: BG Pathum United 0-3 Borussia Dortmund

Even though Borussia Dortmund are without a number of first-team stars, Sahin still has a host of talented senior and academy players at his disposal. The German giants will be regarded as firm favourites to come out on top against their Thai counterparts and should have few problems securing a comfortable win in Thanyaburi. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Borussia Dortmund win with a probability of 43.14%. A win for BG Pathum United had a probability of 35.39% and a draw had a probability of 21.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Borussia Dortmund win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-3 (5.34%) and 0-1 (4.76%). The likeliest BG Pathum United win was 2-1 (7.38%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.38%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 1% likelihood.

Result
BG Pathum UnitedDrawBorussia Dortmund
35.39% (-0.224 -0.22) 21.47% (-0.044 -0.04) 43.14% (0.27 0.27)
Both teams to score 71.06% (0.10700000000001 0.11)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
71.69% (0.16 0.16)28.31% (-0.158 -0.16)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
50.87% (0.198 0.2)49.13% (-0.195 -0.2)
BG Pathum United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.79% (-0.025999999999996 -0.03)17.21% (0.027999999999999 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.51% (-0.045999999999999 -0.05)47.49% (0.048999999999999 0.05)
Borussia Dortmund Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.83% (0.158 0.16)14.17% (-0.155 -0.15)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
58.14% (0.307 0.31)41.86% (-0.305 -0.31)
Score Analysis
    BG Pathum United 35.39%
    Borussia Dortmund 43.14%
    Draw 21.47%
BG Pathum UnitedDrawBorussia Dortmund
2-1 @ 7.38% (-0.040999999999999 -0.04)
3-1 @ 4.33% (-0.028 -0.03)
1-0 @ 4.29% (-0.044 -0.04)
3-2 @ 4.23% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-0 @ 3.78% (-0.042 -0.04)
3-0 @ 2.22% (-0.027 -0.03)
4-1 @ 1.9% (-0.014 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.86% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
4-3 @ 1.21% (0.0049999999999999 0)
4-0 @ 0.97% (-0.013 -0.01)
Other @ 3.23%
Total : 35.39%
1-1 @ 8.38% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)
2-2 @ 7.21%
3-3 @ 2.75% (0.013 0.01)
0-0 @ 2.44% (-0.023 -0.02)
Other @ 0.68%
Total : 21.47%
1-2 @ 8.19% (0.0080000000000009 0.01)
1-3 @ 5.34% (0.035 0.04)
0-1 @ 4.76% (-0.018 -0.02)
2-3 @ 4.7% (0.026000000000001 0.03)
0-2 @ 4.66% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
0-3 @ 3.03% (0.022 0.02)
1-4 @ 2.61% (0.032 0.03)
2-4 @ 2.29% (0.026 0.03)
0-4 @ 1.48% (0.019 0.02)
3-4 @ 1.35% (0.014 0.01)
1-5 @ 1.02% (0.018 0.02)
Other @ 3.72%
Total : 43.14%

How you voted: Pathum Utd vs Dortmund

BG Pathum United
14.3%
Draw
7.1%
Borussia Dortmund
78.6%
14
rhs 2.0
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