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Eerste Divisie | Gameweek 36
May 7, 2023 at 11.15am UK
Yanmar Stadion
NAC Breda

Almere City
0 - 2
NAC Breda


Hilterman (68'), Pena (85')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Agougil (30'), Mar Omarsson (35')
van der Sande (49'), Hyballa (50'), Mar Omarsson (51'), Omgba (71'), Kortsmit (75')
Coverage of the Eerste Divisie clash between Almere City and NAC Breda.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Oss 0-5 Almere City
Friday, April 28 at 7pm in Eerste Divisie
Last Game: NAC Breda 4-2 Roda JC
Saturday, April 29 at 5.45pm in Eerste Divisie

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Almere City win with a probability of 53.21%. A win for NAC Breda had a probability of 24.45% and a draw had a probability of 22.3%.

The most likely scoreline for an Almere City win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.34%) and 2-0 (7.94%). The likeliest NAC Breda win was 1-2 (6.26%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.21%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood.

Result
Almere CityDrawNAC Breda
53.21% (0.565 0.56) 22.34% (-0.186 -0.19) 24.45% (-0.377 -0.38)
Both teams to score 60.07% (0.229 0.23)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
60.46% (0.497 0.5)39.54% (-0.496 -0.5)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
38.11% (0.515 0.52)61.89% (-0.515 -0.52)
Almere City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.07% (0.364 0.36)14.92% (-0.362 -0.36)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
56.69% (0.687 0.69)43.31% (-0.686 -0.69)
NAC Breda Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.61% (-0.030999999999992 -0.03)29.39% (0.032 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.62% (-0.038000000000004 -0.04)65.38% (0.039000000000001 0.04)
Score Analysis
    Almere City 53.21%
    NAC Breda 24.45%
    Draw 22.33%
Almere CityDrawNAC Breda
2-1 @ 9.72% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
1-0 @ 8.34% (-0.086 -0.09)
2-0 @ 7.94% (0.019 0.02)
3-1 @ 6.16% (0.088 0.09)
3-0 @ 5.03% (0.076 0.08)
3-2 @ 3.77% (0.05 0.05)
4-1 @ 2.93% (0.078 0.08)
4-0 @ 2.39% (0.066 0.07)
4-2 @ 1.79% (0.046 0.05)
5-1 @ 1.12% (0.044 0.04)
5-0 @ 0.91% (0.037 0.04)
Other @ 3.11%
Total : 53.21%
1-1 @ 10.21% (-0.12 -0.12)
2-2 @ 5.95% (0.0039999999999996 0)
0-0 @ 4.39% (-0.102 -0.1)
3-3 @ 1.54% (0.02 0.02)
Other @ 0.25%
Total : 22.33%
1-2 @ 6.26% (-0.075 -0.08)
0-1 @ 5.37% (-0.13 -0.13)
0-2 @ 3.29% (-0.082 -0.08)
1-3 @ 2.55% (-0.033 -0.03)
2-3 @ 2.43%
0-3 @ 1.34% (-0.035 -0.03)
Other @ 3.21%
Total : 24.45%

Head to Head
Dec 16, 2022 7pm
Apr 16, 2022 8pm
gameweek 35
Almere City
1-2
NAC Breda
Malone (61' og.)
Receveur (30')
Velanas (47'), Bannis (90+8')
de Rooij (88'), Azzagari (89')
Dec 10, 2021 7pm
gameweek 19
NAC Breda
1-1
Almere City
Haye (74')
Rutten (29')
Duijvestijn (63')
Feb 1, 2021 8pm
gameweek 22
NAC Breda
4-0
Almere City
Immers (21'), Bilate (44', 59'), El Allouchi (85')
Haye (34')

Receveur (30')
Oct 23, 2020 8pm
gameweek 9
Almere City
2-0
NAC Breda
Sorensen (45+1'), Hammouti (80')
Bouyaghlafen (18'), Koolwijk (43'), Cornelis Woud (81')

van Hooijdonk (52'), Venema (90+1')
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