Eerste Divisie | Gameweek 35

Apr 29, 2023 at 5.45pm UK

NAC Breda
4 - 2
Roda JC

Mar Omarsson (12'), Banzuzi (23'), Wernersson (41'), Agougil (90+4')

FT(HT: 3-1)

Vossebelt (35'), van der Heide (81')
Reith (83')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Coverage of the Eerste Divisie clash between NAC Breda and Roda JC.

Form, Standings, Stats

NAC Breda

All competitions

Last Game: NAC Breda 1-1 Willem II
Tuesday, April 25 at 1.30pm in Eerste Divisie

Roda JC

All competitions

Last Game: Roda JC 0-1 Den Bosch
Friday, April 21 at 7pm in Eerste Divisie

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a NAC Breda win with a probability of 50.01%. A win for Roda JC had a probability of 26.67% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a NAC Breda win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.74%) and 2-0 (7.75%). The likeliest Roda JC win was 1-2 (6.68%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.8%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 1.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that NAC Breda would win this match.

Result
NAC Breda	Draw	Roda JC
50.01% ( -0.88)	23.32% ( 0.37)	26.67% ( 0.51)

Both teams to score 58.92% (

-0.82)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

57.92% (

-1.3)

42.08% (

1.3)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

35.51% (

-1.31)

64.49% (

1.31)

NAC Breda Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.03% (

-0.8)

16.97% (

0.8)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

52.94% (

-1.43)

47.06% (

1.43)

Roda JC Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.96% (

-0.3)

29.04% (

0.3)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.05% (

-0.37)

64.95% (

0.37)

Score Analysis

NAC Breda 50.01%

Roda JC 26.67%

Draw 23.31%

NAC Breda	Draw	Roda JC
2-1 @ 9.59% ( -0.03) 1-0 @ 8.74% ( 0.27) 2-0 @ 7.75% ( 0.04) 3-1 @ 5.67% ( -0.17) 3-0 @ 4.58% ( -0.1) 3-2 @ 3.51% ( -0.14) 4-1 @ 2.51% ( -0.15) 4-0 @ 2.03% ( -0.1) 4-2 @ 1.55% ( -0.11) Other @ 4.07% Total : 50.01%	1-1 @ 10.8% ( 0.25) 2-2 @ 5.93% ( -0.07) 0-0 @ 4.93% ( 0.28) 3-3 @ 1.45% ( -0.07) Other @ 0.22% Total : 23.31%	1-2 @ 6.68% ( 0.1) 0-1 @ 6.09% ( 0.3) 0-2 @ 3.77% ( 0.16) 1-3 @ 2.75% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 2.44% ( -0.05) 0-3 @ 1.55% ( 0.05) Other @ 3.38% Total : 26.67%