Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a VVV-Venlo win with a probability of 38.92%. A win for Almere City had a probability of 35.4% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a VVV-Venlo win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.51%) and 0-2 (6.44%). The likeliest Almere City win was 1-0 (8.69%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.16%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for VVV-Venlo in this match.