Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a De Graafschap win with a probability of 53.61%. A win for Jong FC Utrecht had a probability of 25.37% and a draw had a probability of 21%.
The most likely scoreline for a De Graafschap win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (6.68%) and 3-1 (6.52%). The likeliest Jong FC Utrecht win was 1-2 (6.22%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.9%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that De Graafschap would win this match.