Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Volendam win with a probability of 41.98%. A win for Jong Ajax had a probability of 36.17% and a draw had a probability of 21.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Volendam win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (5.17%) and 1-0 (5.08%). The likeliest Jong Ajax win was 1-2 (7.63%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.8%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that FC Volendam would win this match.