Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cambuur win with a probability of 72.91%. A draw had a probability of 16.7% and a win for Helmond Sport had a probability of 10.38%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cambuur win was 0-2 with a probability of 12.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (10.3%) and 0-3 (9.59%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.93%), while for a Helmond Sport win it was 1-0 (3.36%). The actual scoreline of 1-5 was predicted with a 2.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cambuur would win this match.