Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Helmond Sport win with a probability of 47.29%. A win for Jong Ajax had a probability of 31.13% and a draw had a probability of 21.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Helmond Sport win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (5.82%) and 1-0 (5.54%). The likeliest Jong Ajax win was 1-2 (7.01%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.81%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Helmond Sport would win this match.

Result
Helmond Sport	Draw	Jong Ajax
47.29% ( 0.67)	21.58% ( -0.16)	31.13% ( -0.51)

Both teams to score 68.75% (

0.33)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

69.41% (

0.54)

30.59% (

-0.53)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

48.1% (

0.64)

51.9% (

-0.63)

Helmond Sport Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

86.35% (

0.42)

13.65% (

-0.42)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

59.16% (

0.83)

40.84% (

-0.83)

Jong Ajax Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.62% (

-0.01)

20.37% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

47.21% (

-0.01)

52.79% (

0.02)

Score Analysis

Helmond Sport 47.29%

Jong Ajax 31.13%

Draw 21.58%

Helmond Sport	Draw	Jong Ajax
2-1 @ 8.77% ( 0) 3-1 @ 5.82% ( 0.09) 1-0 @ 5.54% ( -0.08) 2-0 @ 5.52% ( 0) 3-2 @ 4.63% ( 0.07) 3-0 @ 3.66% ( 0.06) 4-1 @ 2.9% ( 0.09) 4-2 @ 2.31% ( 0.07) 4-0 @ 1.82% ( 0.06) 4-3 @ 1.22% ( 0.04) 5-1 @ 1.16% ( 0.05) 5-2 @ 0.92% ( 0.04) Other @ 3.03% Total : 47.29%	1-1 @ 8.81% ( -0.13) 2-2 @ 6.98% ( 0) 0-0 @ 2.78% ( -0.08) 3-3 @ 2.46% ( 0.04) Other @ 0.55% Total : 21.58%	1-2 @ 7.01% ( -0.11) 0-1 @ 4.43% ( -0.14) 1-3 @ 3.72% ( -0.06) 2-3 @ 3.7% 0-2 @ 3.52% ( -0.11) 0-3 @ 1.87% ( -0.06) 1-4 @ 1.48% ( -0.02) 2-4 @ 1.47% ( -0) 3-4 @ 0.98% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.96% Total : 31.13%