Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Heracles win with a probability of 73.32%. A draw had a probability of 16.1% and a win for Helmond Sport had a probability of 10.62%.
The most likely scoreline for a Heracles win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.33%) and 3-0 (9.2%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.5%), while for a Helmond Sport win it was 1-2 (3.16%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 11.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Heracles in this match.
-0.1) 
0.03) 
