MX23RW : Tuesday, March 11 01:44:42| >> :300:86500:86500:
Eerste Divisie | Gameweek 5
Sep 5, 2022 at 7pm UK
De Toekomst
Heracles Almelo

Jong Ajax
4 - 0
Heracles

Lucca (45', 57'), Warmerdam (73', 81')
Lucca (39')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Coverage of the Eerste Divisie clash between Jong Ajax and Heracles.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: ADO Den Haag 4-0 Jong Ajax
Sunday, August 28 at 11.15am in Eerste Divisie
Last Game: Heracles 2-2 MVV
Monday, August 29 at 7pm in Eerste Divisie

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Jong Ajax win with a probability of 51.59%. A win for Heracles had a probability of 26.17% and a draw had a probability of 22.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Jong Ajax win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.6%) and 2-0 (7.28%). The likeliest Heracles win was 1-2 (6.53%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.96%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Jong Ajax would win this match.

Result
Jong AjaxDrawHeracles
51.59% (1.617 1.62) 22.24% (-0.084 -0.08) 26.17% (-1.534 -1.53)
Both teams to score 62.31% (-1.131 -1.13)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
62.59% (-0.879 -0.88)37.41% (0.879 0.88)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
40.37% (-0.952 -0.95)59.63% (0.951 0.95)
Jong Ajax Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.29% (0.22799999999999 0.23)14.71% (-0.227 -0.23)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
57.09% (0.432 0.43)42.9% (-0.432 -0.43)
Heracles Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.05% (-1.525 -1.52)26.95% (1.526 1.53)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.72% (-2.042 -2.04)62.28% (2.042 2.04)
Score Analysis
    Jong Ajax 51.59%
    Heracles 26.17%
    Draw 22.24%
Jong AjaxDrawHeracles
2-1 @ 9.55% (0.147 0.15)
1-0 @ 7.6% (0.378 0.38)
2-0 @ 7.28% (0.417 0.42)
3-1 @ 6.1% (0.142 0.14)
3-0 @ 4.65% (0.301 0.3)
3-2 @ 4% (-0.081 -0.08)
4-1 @ 2.92% (0.091 0.09)
4-0 @ 2.23% (0.161 0.16)
4-2 @ 1.92% (-0.023 -0.02)
5-1 @ 1.12% (0.043 0.04)
Other @ 4.22%
Total : 51.59%
1-1 @ 9.96% (0.074 0.07)
2-2 @ 6.26% (-0.177 -0.18)
0-0 @ 3.96% (0.166 0.17)
3-3 @ 1.75% (-0.115 -0.12)
Other @ 0.31%
Total : 22.24%
1-2 @ 6.53% (-0.239 -0.24)
0-1 @ 5.2% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-2 @ 3.41% (-0.153 -0.15)
1-3 @ 2.86% (-0.236 -0.24)
2-3 @ 2.74% (-0.203 -0.2)
0-3 @ 1.49% (-0.136 -0.14)
1-4 @ 0.94% (-0.122 -0.12)
Other @ 3.02%
Total : 26.17%

How you voted: Jong Ajax vs Heracles

Jong Ajax
40.0%
Draw
20.0%
Heracles
40.0%
5
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1FC VolendamVolendam29194665353061
2Cambuur30174948272155
3ADO Den HaagADO Den Haag29167650321855
4SBV ExcelsiorExcelsior30158753332053
5Dordrecht30158750401053
6De GraafschapDe Graafschap29147858411749
7TelstarTelstar29128951361544
8Den BoschDen Bosch30127114236643
9Roda JC2911994038242
10Helmond SportHelmond29126114342142
11EmmenEmmen29125124441341
12FC EindhovenFC Eindhoven29116124548-339
13Jong AZJong AZ2896135053-333
14MVV MaastrichtMVV2989124247-533
15Jong AjaxJong Ajax2987143438-431
16VVV-VenloVVV-Venlo2885152749-2229
17TOP OssOss30611132250-2829
18Jong PSVJong PSV2964194262-2022
19Jong FC UtrechtJong Utrecht2939172562-3718
20Vitesse3098134263-218


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