MX23RW : Sunday, February 2 13:12:45| >> :300:86500:86500:
Eerste Divisie | Gameweek 5
Sep 5, 2022 at 7pm UK
De Toekomst
Heracles Almelo

Jong Ajax
4 - 0
Heracles

Lucca (45', 57'), Warmerdam (73', 81')
Lucca (39')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Coverage of the Eerste Divisie clash between Jong Ajax and Heracles.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: ADO Den Haag 4-0 Jong Ajax
Sunday, August 28 at 11.15am in Eerste Divisie
Last Game: Heracles 2-2 MVV
Monday, August 29 at 7pm in Eerste Divisie

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Jong Ajax win with a probability of 51.59%. A win for Heracles had a probability of 26.17% and a draw had a probability of 22.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Jong Ajax win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.6%) and 2-0 (7.28%). The likeliest Heracles win was 1-2 (6.53%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.96%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Jong Ajax would win this match.

Result
Jong AjaxDrawHeracles
51.59% (1.617 1.62) 22.24% (-0.084 -0.08) 26.17% (-1.534 -1.53)
Both teams to score 62.31% (-1.131 -1.13)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
62.59% (-0.879 -0.88)37.41% (0.879 0.88)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
40.37% (-0.952 -0.95)59.63% (0.951 0.95)
Jong Ajax Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.29% (0.22799999999999 0.23)14.71% (-0.227 -0.23)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
57.09% (0.432 0.43)42.9% (-0.432 -0.43)
Heracles Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.05% (-1.525 -1.52)26.95% (1.526 1.53)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.72% (-2.042 -2.04)62.28% (2.042 2.04)
Score Analysis
    Jong Ajax 51.59%
    Heracles 26.17%
    Draw 22.24%
Jong AjaxDrawHeracles
2-1 @ 9.55% (0.147 0.15)
1-0 @ 7.6% (0.378 0.38)
2-0 @ 7.28% (0.417 0.42)
3-1 @ 6.1% (0.142 0.14)
3-0 @ 4.65% (0.301 0.3)
3-2 @ 4% (-0.081 -0.08)
4-1 @ 2.92% (0.091 0.09)
4-0 @ 2.23% (0.161 0.16)
4-2 @ 1.92% (-0.023 -0.02)
5-1 @ 1.12% (0.043 0.04)
Other @ 4.22%
Total : 51.59%
1-1 @ 9.96% (0.074 0.07)
2-2 @ 6.26% (-0.177 -0.18)
0-0 @ 3.96% (0.166 0.17)
3-3 @ 1.75% (-0.115 -0.12)
Other @ 0.31%
Total : 22.24%
1-2 @ 6.53% (-0.239 -0.24)
0-1 @ 5.2% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-2 @ 3.41% (-0.153 -0.15)
1-3 @ 2.86% (-0.236 -0.24)
2-3 @ 2.74% (-0.203 -0.2)
0-3 @ 1.49% (-0.136 -0.14)
1-4 @ 0.94% (-0.122 -0.12)
Other @ 3.02%
Total : 26.17%

How you voted: Jong Ajax vs Heracles

Jong Ajax
40.0%
Draw
20.0%
Heracles
40.0%
5
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1FC VolendamVolendam24154554302449
2SBV ExcelsiorExcelsior24136542241845
3Den BoschDen Bosch24126640271342
4Dordrecht24118542321041
5Cambuur24132934241041
6De GraafschapDe Graafschap23107647341337
7ADO Den HaagADO Den Haag23107638281037
8Roda JC2410683331236
9EmmenEmmen2310583732535
10Helmond SportHelmond2210483234-234
11TelstarTelstar248883632432
12FC EindhovenFC Eindhoven2495103641-532
13MVV MaastrichtMVV247893938129
14Jong AZJong AZ2375113742-526
15VVV-VenloVVV-Venlo2374122538-1325
16TOP OssOss2367101736-1925
17Jong AjaxJong Ajax2366112830-224
18Jong PSVJong PSV2463153650-1421
19Jong FC UtrechtJong Utrecht2328132045-2514
20Vitesse2457123257-25-5


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