Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Jong PSV win with a probability of 52.32%. A win for TOP Oss had a probability of 26.08% and a draw had a probability of 21.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Jong PSV win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (6.88%) and 1-0 (6.85%). The likeliest TOP Oss win was 1-2 (6.43%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.38%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Jong PSV would win this match.

Result
Jong PSV	Draw	TOP Oss
52.32% ( 1.37)	21.6% ( -0.37)	26.08% ( -1)

Both teams to score 64.58% (

0.4)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

65.6% (

0.93)

34.39% (

-0.93)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

43.69% (

1.04)

56.31% (

-1.04)

Jong PSV Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

86.58% (

0.76)

13.42% (

-0.76)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

59.63% (

1.51)

40.37% (

-1.51)

TOP Oss Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.59% (

-0.2)

25.41% (

0.2)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.77% (

-0.27)

60.22% (

0.27)

Score Analysis

Jong PSV 52.32%

TOP Oss 26.08%

Draw 21.6%

Jong PSV	Draw	TOP Oss
2-1 @ 9.42% ( 0.03) 2-0 @ 6.88% ( 0.06) 1-0 @ 6.85% ( -0.14) 3-1 @ 6.31% ( 0.19) 3-0 @ 4.61% ( 0.16) 3-2 @ 4.32% ( 0.11) 4-1 @ 3.17% ( 0.18) 4-0 @ 2.31% ( 0.14) 4-2 @ 2.17% ( 0.11) 5-1 @ 1.27% ( 0.11) 4-3 @ 0.99% ( 0.05) 5-0 @ 0.93% ( 0.08) Other @ 3.09% Total : 52.32%	1-1 @ 9.38% ( -0.24) 2-2 @ 6.45% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 3.41% ( -0.17) 3-3 @ 1.97% ( 0.04) Other @ 0.38% Total : 21.6%	1-2 @ 6.43% ( -0.2) 0-1 @ 4.67% ( -0.25) 0-2 @ 3.2% ( -0.19) 2-3 @ 2.95% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 2.94% ( -0.11) 0-3 @ 1.46% ( -0.1) 2-4 @ 1.01% ( -0.01) 1-4 @ 1.01% ( -0.04) Other @ 2.42% Total : 26.08%